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Author Topic: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA  (Read 8783 times)
Mallow
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« Reply #75 on: October 21, 2016, 07:57:32 am »

Why has Statespoll not been banned?
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Animation of 1964-2012 presidential margin by state, adjusted by US margin

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MohamedChalid
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« Reply #76 on: October 21, 2016, 08:48:45 am »

Why has Statespoll not been banned?

I would recommend my dear friend StatesPoll to wear a glasses; obviously he has trouble with reading normal sized letters. Tongue
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afleitch
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« Reply #77 on: October 21, 2016, 08:55:33 am »

Once again, it's a model. Look at Utah. There isn't even an option for McMullin.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #78 on: October 21, 2016, 09:32:06 am »

Why has Statespoll not been banned?

I would recommend my dear friend StatesPoll to wear a glasses; obviously he has trouble with reading normal sized letters. Tongue
Haha, nice one.

Should this become a Yougov's megathread?
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #79 on: October 26, 2016, 11:29:31 am »

10/25 YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/

GA: TRUMP 46.0% | Hillary 46.8%
AZ: TRUMP 47.5% | Hillary 41.8%
NC: TRUMP 45.0% | Hillary 48.1%

PA: TRUMP 45.3% | Hillary 46.5%
OH: TRUMP 46.0% | Hillary 46.1%
FL:  TRUMP 46.9% | Hillary 46.9%
WI: TRUMP 44.2% | Hillary 47.2%
CO: TRUMP 42.5% | Hillary 47.0%

IA: TRUMP 43.7% | Hillary 45.0%
NV: TRUMP 45.0% | Hillary 46.3%
MI: TRUMP 42.8% | Hillary 48.6%

MN: TRUMP 42.8% | Hillary 47.1%
ME: TRUMP 42.3% | Hillary 47.6%
ME-2: TRUMP 47.7% | Hillary 42.8%
NH: TRUMP 43.0% | Hillary 47.9%

OR: TRUMP 39.1% | Hillary 48.8%
VA: TRUMP 41.5% | Hillary 49.3%
CT: TRUMP 40.8% | Hillary 50.7%
NJ: TRUMP 37.8% | Hillary 53.9%
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Bacon King
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« Reply #80 on: October 26, 2016, 11:33:35 am »

Haha oh wow, Hillary doing better in GA than she is in OH, FL

yuge if true
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #81 on: October 26, 2016, 11:42:01 am »

Up in Georgia. Lol
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #82 on: October 26, 2016, 11:45:46 am »

Clinton does very well in online polls of Georgia for some reason.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #83 on: October 26, 2016, 11:54:02 am »

Clinton does very well in online polls of Georgia for some reason.

Hip, young, saavy blacks who love the internet and can't wait to turn GA blue, of course. 
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #84 on: October 26, 2016, 12:12:36 pm »

So, the preponderance of evidence shows she's slipped from around +8/+9 nationally to roughly +5. Relatively quickly.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #85 on: October 26, 2016, 12:17:17 pm »

So, the preponderance of evidence shows she's slipped from around +8/+9 nationally to roughly +5. Relatively quickly.

+5 is a bit of a leap.  More like +6/+7 seems more reasonable.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #86 on: October 27, 2016, 05:27:27 am »

10/26 YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
TRUMP flipped FL/GA/OH

GA: TRUMP 46.7% | Hillary 46.6%
AZ: TRUMP 48.3% | Hillary 41.9%
NC: TRUMP 45.3% | Hillary 48.2%

PA: TRUMP 45.5% | Hillary 46.7%
OH: TRUMP 46.5% | Hillary 45.9%
FL:  TRUMP 47.3% | Hillary 46.9%
WI: TRUMP 44.2% | Hillary 47.8%
CO: TRUMP 43.1% | Hillary 47.3%

IA: TRUMP 44.0% | Hillary 45.4%
NV: TRUMP 45.5% | Hillary 46.1%
MI: TRUMP 43.1% | Hillary 48.9%

MN: TRUMP 42.5% | Hillary 47.8%
ME: TRUMP 42.3% | Hillary 48.5%
ME-2: TRUMP 47.1% | Hillary 44.0%
NH: TRUMP 42.9% | Hillary 48.4%

OR: TRUMP 39.6% | Hillary 49.3%
VA: TRUMP 42.0% | Hillary 49.5%
 
« Last Edit: October 27, 2016, 05:32:27 am by StatesPoll »Logged
StatesPoll
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« Reply #87 on: October 30, 2016, 06:13:58 am »

10/29 YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
TRUMP flipped PA.

PA: TRUMP 46.6% | Hillary 46.5%
OH: TRUMP 47.3% | Hillary 45.9%
FL:  TRUMP 47.6% | Hillary 47.0%
WI: TRUMP 44.8% | Hillary 47.3%
CO: TRUMP 43.7% | Hillary 47.4%


GA: TRUMP 47.0% | Hillary 46.8%
AZ: TRUMP 49.4% | Hillary 41.1%
NC: TRUMP 45.9% | Hillary 47.5%

IA: TRUMP 44.7% | Hillary 45.7%
NV: TRUMP 45.9% | Hillary 46.1%
MI: TRUMP 43.0% | Hillary 49.1%
VA: TRUMP 43.2% | Hillary 49.4%

MN: TRUMP 42.4% | Hillary 48.8%
ME: TRUMP 41.8% | Hillary 49.4%
ME-2: TRUMP 47.3% | Hillary 44.0%
NH: TRUMP 41.4% | Hillary 49.9%
OR: TRUMP 40.3% | Hillary 49.1%
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« Reply #88 on: October 30, 2016, 06:43:15 am »

hmm, bet you Hillary shill Nate Silver won't include this in his model!
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« Reply #89 on: October 30, 2016, 06:44:33 am »

hmm, bet you Hillary shill Nate Silver won't include this in his model!

These s*** polls have already wreaked havoc on the model.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #90 on: October 30, 2016, 06:45:25 am »

hmm, bet you Hillary shill Nate Silver won't include this in his model!

These s*** polls have already wreaked havoc on the model.
I'm making fun of people who say he's anti-Hillary btw Wink  Yeah, Google consumer surveys are the prime reason they have Kander up in Missouri lol
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #91 on: November 04, 2016, 12:22:45 pm »

11/3 YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
TRUMP is winning in FL/GA/IA/NC/NV/OH/PA/ME-2
close race in WI/CO/ME(Statewide)


PA: TRUMP 47.0% | Hillary 46.9%
OH: TRUMP 48.2% | Hillary 45.2%
FL:  TRUMP 48.2% | Hillary 46.7%
NC: TRUMP 47.6% | Hillary 47.2%
IA: TRUMP 46.3% | Hillary 44.8%
NV: TRUMP 46.6% | Hillary 45.7%
WI: TRUMP 44.8% | Hillary 47.3%

CO: TRUMP 44.9% | Hillary 47.0%

MI: TRUMP 44.0% | Hillary 48.6%
VA: TRUMP 43.6% | Hillary 48.9%
GA: TRUMP 47.1% | Hillary 47.0%
AZ: TRUMP 49.9% | Hillary 42.0%
ME: TRUMP 43.1% | Hillary 46.9%
ME-2: TRUMP 48.9% | Hillary 41.1%
 
 
MN: TRUMP 42.7% | Hillary 48.2%
NH: TRUMP 42.4% | Hillary 48.8%
OR: TRUMP 40.9% | Hillary 49.0%
DE: TRUMP 43.3% | Hillary 50.4%
« Last Edit: November 04, 2016, 12:24:18 pm by StatesPoll »Logged
Parrotguy
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« Reply #92 on: November 04, 2016, 12:31:35 pm »

11/3 YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
TRUMP is winning in FL/GA/IA/NC/NV/OH/PA/ME-2
close race in WI/CO/ME(Statewide)


PA: TRUMP 47.0% | Hillary 46.9%
OH: TRUMP 48.2% | Hillary 45.2%
FL:  TRUMP 48.2% | Hillary 46.7%
NC: TRUMP 47.6% | Hillary 47.2%
IA: TRUMP 46.3% | Hillary 44.8%
NV: TRUMP 46.6% | Hillary 45.7%
WI: TRUMP 44.8% | Hillary 47.3%

CO: TRUMP 44.9% | Hillary 47.0%

MI: TRUMP 44.0% | Hillary 48.6%
VA: TRUMP 43.6% | Hillary 48.9%
GA: TRUMP 47.1% | Hillary 47.0%
AZ: TRUMP 49.9% | Hillary 42.0%
ME: TRUMP 43.1% | Hillary 46.9%
ME-2: TRUMP 48.9% | Hillary 41.1%
 
 
MN: TRUMP 42.7% | Hillary 48.2%
NH: TRUMP 42.4% | Hillary 48.8%
OR: TRUMP 40.9% | Hillary 49.0%
DE: TRUMP 43.3% | Hillary 50.4%


Yeah, no.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #93 on: November 04, 2016, 12:45:22 pm »

These are not actual polls.
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Hammy
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« Reply #94 on: November 04, 2016, 12:47:17 pm »

These are not actual polls.

What is it and why is it in the polling thread? Either way they seem contrary to literally everything else coming out in some states.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #95 on: November 06, 2016, 11:44:31 am »

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/

Clinton's lead back up to 4.6 in YouGov's national survey (which is an actual poll, unlike modeled state numbers):

Clinton 48.2 (+0.8 )
Trump 43.7 (-0.8 )
Johnson 4.1 (+0.0)
Stein 1.9 (-0.1)

"Our election model includes 78512 interviews and has been updated with 7695 new interviews in the past 24 hours. It represents YouGov's best assessment of the current state of the race."

Full methodology: https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/10/03/election-model-methodology/
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 11:46:07 am by Ozymandias »Logged
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« Reply #96 on: November 06, 2016, 11:48:03 am »

These are not actual polls.

What is it and why is it in the polling thread? Either way they seem contrary to literally everything else coming out in some states.

Subsamples of a national poll. Not the same thing.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #97 on: November 06, 2016, 11:50:37 am »

EV prediction and trend:

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #98 on: November 06, 2016, 11:52:29 am »

IT'S A CLINTON SURGE FOLKS!
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« Reply #99 on: November 06, 2016, 11:55:47 am »

Where's StatesPoll, his unskewing, and gifs of Christie doing the Truffle Shuffle now?
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