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| | | | |-+  YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA
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Author Topic: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA  (Read 8843 times)
alomas
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« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2016, 05:57:09 am »

Pennsylvania numbers are actually surprisingly good for Trump. I can see now 2.2 points difference on the website which mean PA is absolutely in play, especially as it is a post-tape poll. Clinton is leading by 7 on average so this looks completely different. We need to wait for more polls though.

Very bad numbers in Georgia though, I must be a long long time when Republican lost that state.


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StatesPoll
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« Reply #26 on: October 12, 2016, 08:17:02 pm »


YouGov 10/11

Pennsylvania: Hillary 47.1% | TRUMP 45.3%
now just 1.8% margins.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #27 on: October 12, 2016, 08:35:29 pm »

These arent, like actual polls though. If you want a YouGov PA poll, refer to the CBS/YouGov poll.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #28 on: October 13, 2016, 06:15:50 am »


YouGov Election Model
Pennsylvania. 10/12

Hillary 46.6% | TRUMP 45.4% | Johnson 4.4% | Stein 1.9%

Back in the game.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #29 on: October 13, 2016, 06:21:17 am »


YouGov Election Model
Pennsylvania. 10/12

Hillary 46.6% | TRUMP 45.4% | Johnson 4.4% | Stein 1.9%

Back in the game.

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania


NC(15) + NV(6) - PA(20) = 1

273 Freiwal!
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #30 on: October 14, 2016, 08:50:43 am »

 


YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon


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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #31 on: October 14, 2016, 09:45:05 am »




YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon




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Gass3268
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« Reply #32 on: October 14, 2016, 09:46:32 am »




YouGov Election Model

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania: Hillary 46.5% | TRUMP 45.6% | Johnson 4.6% | Stein 1.8%


#TRUMPGonnaFlipPASoon




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Still have 25 days...
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Fargobison
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« Reply #33 on: October 16, 2016, 12:38:22 pm »

Georgia flips to HRC...

https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
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Ebsy
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« Reply #34 on: October 16, 2016, 12:40:11 pm »

They now have Mississippi extremely close, with Trump only +2.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #35 on: October 16, 2016, 12:58:42 pm »

https://twitter.com/nickgourevitch/status/787713135809552384

Unlike a lot of public pollsters, YouGov keeps partisan metrics fairly stable. HRC +6.1 in their model -- the highest margin they've shown. Her median electoral vote total is 362.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #36 on: October 16, 2016, 01:00:00 pm »

YouGov also isn't very good - keep in mind how many international elections they've butchered.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #37 on: October 16, 2016, 01:02:27 pm »

I guess Statespoll is done posting about Pennsylvania lol
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dspNY
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« Reply #38 on: October 16, 2016, 01:16:01 pm »

After some meandering and a crawl towards Trump, Clinton spikes to a 6% national lead. GA, PA, IA and NV turn blue. TX, LA, and SC turn pink again.

Safe Dem: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME (including ME-1), MD, MA, NJ, NM, NY, OR, RI, VT, VA, WA

Lean Dem:

CO: Clinton 48.2, Trump 41.1
FL: Clinton 48.4, Trump 45.4
GA: Clinton 46.9, Trump 44.4
IA: Clinton 46.0, Trump 43.2
MI: Clinton 48.6, Trump 41.9
MN: Clinton 48.6, Trump 41.3
NV: Clinton 46.4, Trump 42.3
NH: Clinton 47.5, Trump 40.6
NC: Clinton 48.0, Trump 44.0
OH: Clinton 47.7, Trump 44.0
PA: Clinton 47.0, Trump 44.5
WI: Clinton 48.8, Trump 42.2

Lean Republican:

AZ: Trump 47.0, Clinton 42.5
MS: Trump 47.7, Clinton 45.4
SC: Trump 48.4, Clinton 43.0
TX: Trump 49.0, Clinton 42.0
LA: Trump 49.6, Clinton 41.9

Safe Republican: AL, AK, AR, ID, IN, KS, KY, MO, NE (including NE-1 and NE-3), ND, OK, SD, TN, UT, WV, WY

Tossups:

ME-2: Clinton 45.6, Trump 44.2
NE-2: Trump 45.3, Clinton 44.2
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ReapSow
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« Reply #39 on: October 16, 2016, 02:14:54 pm »

Noice.
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OneJ
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« Reply #40 on: October 16, 2016, 06:32:17 pm »

They now have Mississippi extremely close, with Trump only +2.

I'd be overjoyed with this result on election day if it were to happen. =(
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #41 on: October 17, 2016, 08:14:42 am »

BOOM!

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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #42 on: October 17, 2016, 08:15:33 am »

WHOA
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #43 on: October 17, 2016, 08:16:48 am »

Wut?
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #44 on: October 17, 2016, 08:18:36 am »

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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #45 on: October 17, 2016, 08:20:09 am »

YouGov has a Democrat bias but Hillary could take it.
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Edu
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« Reply #46 on: October 17, 2016, 08:22:02 am »

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HillOfANight
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« Reply #47 on: October 17, 2016, 08:25:46 am »

I don't think this is an actual Georgia specific poll, but part of their multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) project. They take lots of responses, not necessarily Georgia specific, and then model those responses back to Georgia, based on similar profiles.
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Georgia

See the 47-44 result here.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=247418.msg5321100#msg5321100
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Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« Reply #48 on: October 17, 2016, 08:26:26 am »

#HILLARYSLIDE2016!!!!!!!!
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Ye Olde Europe
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« Reply #49 on: October 17, 2016, 08:30:58 am »

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