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Author Topic: FL-UNF: Clinton +7/+3  (Read 1165 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 06, 2016, 07:07:42 am »

http://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=00000157-967b-de60-a3ff-fe7b11760001

Clinton - 47%
Trump - 40%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 3%
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mark_twain
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2016, 07:08:16 am »

Excellent!

Go Clinton!
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OneJ
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2016, 07:09:15 am »

http://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=00000157-967b-de60-a3ff-fe7b11760001

Clinton - 47%
Trump - 40%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 3%

The surge is real!
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Arch
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2016, 08:38:28 am »

Oh my goodness. That's a beastly margin.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2016, 08:45:21 am »

it's just crazy how far the election has shifted post-debate.

if this holds for another two-three weeks more or less, it's over.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2016, 08:49:14 am »

it's just crazy how far the election has shifted post-debate.

if this holds for another two-three weeks more or less, it's over.

This suggests a Trump collapse.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 10:17:26 am »

This might be an outlier, but if it's not, then WOW.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2016, 10:20:52 am »

+3 is not impossible (MOE) and that most of johnson's support is a giant PINATA for clinton seems about right.
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2016, 10:22:15 am »

She's up 3 in the 4-way, and everyone is acting like it's a gamechanging poll for Hillary?
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Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!

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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2016, 10:49:50 am »

She's up 3 in the 4-way, and everyone is acting like it's a gamechanging poll for Hillary?

A lot of people are looking at the two-way number, which could be more accurate, since third party support has been waning. Still, +3  is in line with other polls, and show that Hillary is consistently ahead in a state that Trump has to win.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2016, 02:08:15 pm »

She's up 3 in the 4-way, and everyone is acting like it's a gamechanging poll for Hillary?

A lot of people are looking at the two-way number, which could be more accurate, since third party support has been waning. Still, +3  is in line with other polls, and show that Hillary is consistently ahead in a state that Trump has to win.

Agree.
Remember this is Florida. A +3 is good, and in a two-way a number between +3 and +7 is very good news FOR FLORIDA (for Clinton of course).
On election day, some (I estimate about half) of the third-party support will evaporate, and they will vote for one of the two major party candidates.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2016, 02:30:46 pm »

She's up 3 in the 4-way, and everyone is acting like it's a gamechanging poll for Hillary?
it is also a state she can afford to lose, but Trump cannot. He has virtually no path without FL.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2016, 03:00:38 pm »

Nice poll... key is getting the young 'uns out to vote, and quite flirting with 3rd party protest votes here and the two-way number starts to look plausible.

Still, the 4-way numbers look credible, even for a uni poll. They are a B+ so I don't believe they qualify as a typical "junk" uni poll.
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