Suffolk NH Poll- HRC +2
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Author Topic: Suffolk NH Poll- HRC +2  (Read 2165 times)
F_S_USATN
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« on: October 06, 2016, 10:51:14 AM »
Close in Granite State - Suffolk/Globe poll of New Hampshire
likely voters - HC leads DT 44-42 with GJ 5, JS 1, und 7, and 1 refused

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2016, 10:51:47 AM »
battleground again!

ayotte +6.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2016, 10:52:35 AM »
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2016, 10:54:32 AM »
Trump 42 as a final total seems right, however
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2016, 10:57:23 AM »
Quote from: F_S_USATN on October 06, 2016, 10:51:14 AM
Close in Granite State - Suffolk/Globe poll of New Hampshire
likely voters - HC leads DT 44-42 with GJ 5, JS 1, und 7, and 1 refused

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos

Considering Suffolk used to underestimate TRUMP. Perhaps TRUMP ahead Hillary in NH?
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2016, 11:00:18 AM »
Yeah, not buying this.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 11:01:36 AM »
https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/784057872435019776
http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/10/06/document-poll-results-election/DjATkpuIncteqjCqZAqXTM/story.html?p1=Article_Related_Box_Article
crosstabs ^^
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2016, 11:05:28 AM »
52% female ...and 30% rep to 27% dem.


is 91% white normal for NH?
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2016, 11:07:17 AM »
Wow, that's close.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2016, 11:10:27 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 06, 2016, 11:05:28 AM
52% female ...and 30% rep to 27% dem.


is 91% white normal for NH?

http://sos.nh.gov/NamesHistory.aspx

Party Registration/Names on Checklist History(New Hampshire
August 23, 2016    

Democrat 269,263
Republican 293,307
Undeclared  354,082
Total  916,652
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2016, 11:12:25 AM »
well, at least the fundamentals are correct then. ^^ still an outlier.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2016, 11:12:42 AM »
Dont buy it, gonna need more polls to back it up.
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TC 25
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2016, 11:13:49 AM »
All the celebrating on this site seems a tad bit premature.

Clinton has the advantage right now, but this is by no means over.  Trump has a path, albeit a narrow one, to 270.  Florida, NC, NV, NH, OH.... and maybe WI.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2016, 11:15:50 AM »
Quote from: TC 25 on October 06, 2016, 11:13:49 AM
All the celebrating on this site seems a tad bit premature.

Clinton has the advantage right now, but this is by no means over.  Trump has a path, albeit a narrow one, to 270.  Florida, NC, NV, NH, OH.... and maybe WI.

Plus, IA/PA
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2016, 11:17:18 AM »
trump only has a path if the polls are way off, in my humble opinion or the american electorate is even more volatile/shy than i would have thought.

on the other hand...the "momentum" switched 5 times during the past half year.
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Dutch Conservative
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2016, 11:26:18 AM »
Excellent poll for Trump!
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Skye
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« Reply #16 on: October 06, 2016, 11:42:41 AM »
I don't quite buy that Trump is that close in a state that has leaned Clinton through most of the election in the middle of a Trump collapse.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2016, 11:58:51 AM »
Clinton was still up big in NH even during her bad couple weeks, this makes no sense.
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Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God
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« Reply #18 on: October 06, 2016, 12:03:42 PM »
Outlier.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #19 on: October 06, 2016, 01:05:40 PM »
Suffolk is a decent pollster but sometimes they publish a questionable poll.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #20 on: October 06, 2016, 02:01:49 PM »
Ummmmmmm ...... No.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #21 on: October 06, 2016, 03:02:33 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 06, 2016, 11:42:41 AM
I don't quite buy that Trump is that close in a state that has leaned Clinton through most of the election in the middle of a Trump collapse.

Yeah--- it doesn't make sense intuitively, logically, or any other regard.

What could have changed in the past few weeks to cause that shift?

I believe Trump and Bernie both had rallies there, and Trump is spending some $$$ in the state, but nothing that might account for a tightening here.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #22 on: October 06, 2016, 03:11:23 PM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 06, 2016, 11:05:28 AM
52% female ...and 30% rep to 27% dem.


is 91% white normal for NH?

That's actually a bit low since NH is about 93% white as a population and voters tend to be whiter.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2016, 03:28:07 PM »
I'm gonna wipe my butthole with this poll after tacos tonight!

JUNK POLL!
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Seriously?
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2016, 05:23:59 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2016, 05:29:30 PM by Seriously? »
Marginals: http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_6_2016_marginals.pdf
Cross-Tabs: http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_6_2016_tables.pdf

Race becomes 45-44 when 3rd Party Candidates are omitted.
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