NH-Suffolk poll: Ayotte +6
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  NH-Suffolk poll: Ayotte +6
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Author Topic: NH-Suffolk poll: Ayotte +6  (Read 2025 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 06, 2016, 10:53:01 AM »
« edited: October 06, 2016, 11:32:52 AM by TN Volunteer »

47% Kelly Ayotte (R, inc.)
41% Climbing Maggie (D)

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/784058008896737280
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2016, 10:54:10 AM »

Especially after Monday night, Ayotte is beyond hopeless (well she already was).
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2016, 10:55:58 AM »

Suffolk is usually pretty good, but this is a surprise considering childrengate.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2016, 11:02:19 AM »

This is clearly off, since Hillary will win NH by more than 2, but it's concerning that Ayotte is overperforming Trump by this much.
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Skye
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2016, 11:31:36 AM »

Mods, I thought we stopped editorializing titles? Leave your (garbage) trolling out of the titles TNVol.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2016, 11:40:39 AM »

Mods, I thought we stopped editorializing titles? Leave your (garbage) trolling out of the titles TNVol.

Fixed, but not surprised to see you believing a poll that shows Clinton and Trump basically tied in NH.
Suffolk isn't really that junk. In any case it shows Ayotte overperforming Trump by a considerable margin, which is quite consistent with most polls.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 07:35:53 PM »

I have a bad feeling about the Senate.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2016, 12:39:43 AM »


While I was updating my prediction map to reflect my rating change in IN, I had this sudden feeling that of the 5 toss-ups I now have, only IN would go to the Dems while R's would sweep PA/NH/NC/NV. Assuming none of my leans/likelys are wrong, this would result in a 52-48 republican majority. Maybe that'll end up being completely inaccurate, but who knows?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2016, 05:53:31 AM »


I strongly doubt Clinton wins by 4-5% and the Dems don't win the Senate.
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Shadows
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2016, 04:40:20 PM »

If you have bad candidates in Swing states, 2-3% won't be enough, even 4-5% may not be enough. Obama won by 4% too in 2012.

Anyways, I am not sure about this poll but Ayotte is a strong candidate outperforming Trump by 6-8% atleast. Some polls show Clinton leading by 2-4% odd & maybe this is one of those polls & Ayotte is thus 6% up.

Regardless NH will be a close race until we get 3-4 polls like these coming in through 2-3 weeks. Maggie Hassan isn't a very strong candidate like Feingold or Deborah Ross, strong progressives!
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2016, 11:41:22 PM »

Keep in mind Republicans could have pulled off a 1996 in 2012 with better candidates in IN, MO, and ND, and a better campaign from Rehberg in MT. That results in a gain of 2 for 49 Senate seats, despite Obama winning reelection by 4 (and it would have been 52 had Repubs not pissed away DE, CO and NV in 2010).
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