AZ - OHPI : Clinton Trump TIED
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  AZ - OHPI : Clinton Trump TIED
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Author Topic: AZ - OHPI : Clinton Trump TIED  (Read 950 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: October 06, 2016, 03:45:16 PM »

Arizona poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights of 718 LV from 9/28-9/30:

Clinton - 42
Trump - 42
Johnson - 5
Stein - 1

http://email.connectstrategic.com/t/j-5C5134BA69C80539
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2016, 03:45:44 PM »

Didn't this firm have Hillary up last time?
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2016, 03:48:01 PM »

Didn't this firm have Hillary up last time?

Yes, by 1 back in late Aug:

http://email.connectstrategic.com/t/j-73630F4BD52B12D8
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2016, 03:48:14 PM »

Didn't this firm have Hillary up last time?

She was up by 1 last time which is well within MoE.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2016, 03:48:51 PM »

Wow, RIP Trump.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2016, 03:49:36 PM »

Great poll! Go clinton.

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NOVA Green
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 03:52:03 PM »

Not sure about this firm's street cred, looks to be some type of partisan polling firm, but not unreasonable looking at national numbers and other recent polling to the state to see it as basically in a toss-up zone at this point in the Presidential Race.

Not to mention Trump popping up in Prescott the other day (Internals showing issues?)

#BattlegroundArizona is back...



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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2016, 03:52:39 PM »

WOWIE!  I had AZ as a SHOCK STATE from the beginning and it's all coming to fruition!  Once again, Atlas, I win the election.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=164173.msg3508806#msg3508806

Bow to me.
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dspNY
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2016, 03:53:15 PM »

Not sure about this firm's street cred, looks to be some type of partisan polling firm, but not unreasonable looking at national numbers and other recent polling to the state to see it as basically in a toss-up zone at this point in the Presidential Race.

Not to mention Trump popping up in Prescott the other day (Internals showing issues?)

#BattlegroundArizona is back...





Emerson! had Clinton up 2, now this poll tied and Trump going back to Arizona...When there's smoke there's fire. Early voting starts in AZ next week and most Arizonans vote early
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2016, 04:13:37 PM »

Not sure about this firm's street cred, looks to be some type of partisan polling firm, but not unreasonable looking at national numbers and other recent polling to the state to see it as basically in a toss-up zone at this point in the Presidential Race.

Not to mention Trump popping up in Prescott the other day (Internals showing issues?)

#BattlegroundArizona is back...





Emerson! had Clinton up 2, now this poll tied and Trump going back to Arizona...When there's smoke there's fire. Early voting starts in AZ next week and most Arizonans vote early

Maybe Clinton should do a surprise appearance in the state, if nothing else as a head-fake after the NV debates, to make them spend money on defense, take advantage of free local media coverage, and boost Dem turnout in what is traditionally a fairly reliable Republican state at the Presidential level.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2016, 04:13:55 PM »

If Hillary really is crushing Trump among Latinos, and turnout surges, AZ is possible. Trump is still favored here for now, but keep an eye on AZ.
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2016, 04:18:07 PM »

The problem with borderline but traditionally red states like GA, AZ or even TX etc are these poll numbers are on the back of an extremely damaging week for Trump. The moment the news cycle changes and his poll numbers improve slightly, the states will be back in the republican column.
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Person Man
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2016, 04:21:28 PM »

The race will be called before Arizona.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2016, 04:43:12 PM »

The race will be called before Arizona.

Arizona would just be gravy in 2016, and also a giant wake-up call to the Republican Party that if they continue down the path of Trumpism at a national level, NV/CO are locked down for the Dems, FL/NC start turning lean Dem, AZ is turning solidly purple, and even TX is in danger....

Not even to speak of #BattlegroundTexas
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AGA
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2016, 05:39:31 PM »

The race will be called before Arizona.

Arizona would just be gravy in 2016, and also a giant wake-up call to the Republican Party that if they continue down the path of Trumpism at a national level, NV/CO are locked down for the Dems, FL/NC start turning lean Dem, AZ is turning solidly purple, and even TX is in danger....

Not even to speak of #BattlegroundTexas

Trump could actually win Texas by single digits this year, but I do not think that the Republicans have too much to worry about in Texas if they nominate some normal candidates. Hispanics there are much more conservative than they are nationwide, and they do not have high turnout anyway.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2016, 06:30:13 PM »

It would be so awesome if Clinton could take AZ !
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