VA - Hampton: Clinton +12
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  VA - Hampton: Clinton +12
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Author Topic: VA - Hampton: Clinton +12  (Read 3184 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: October 07, 2016, 06:24:48 PM »
« edited: October 07, 2016, 06:27:00 PM by Ozymandias »

http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/HU-Poll%3A-Post--Debate-Surge-Gives-Democrats-Double--Digit-Surge-among-Virginians

Clinton 46
Trump 34
Don't Know/Refused 20

9/28-10/2, 800 LV

Last poll they had back in Aug was Clinton 43, Trump 41
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2016, 06:25:34 PM »

Virginia = just about Safe D

Amazing considering the fact that going into 2008, it was a state no Dem won since LBJ
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2016, 06:25:54 PM »

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psychprofessor
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2016, 06:27:23 PM »

Virginia = just about Safe D

Amazing considering the fact that going into 2008, it was a state no Dem won since LBJ

Yeah, the same rapid transformation happened in West Virginia from 1996-2004, where it went from Safe D to Safe R. We are now seeing Virginia from 2004-2016 go from Safe R to Safe D.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2016, 06:28:27 PM »

some states change forever (or accelerate their changing speed) if one special election comes around.

north carolina could be the next one.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2016, 06:32:27 PM »

It's kind of astonishing that Trump is only getting 34% in a head-to-head poll in VA.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2016, 06:33:27 PM »

Virginia=Maryland
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2016, 06:48:01 PM »

DOMINATING
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2016, 06:52:40 PM »

I think this will be called at poll closing time.

If it is, we'll know that the election is over.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2016, 06:56:38 PM »

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2016, 07:05:32 PM »

Wow, good job Trump campaign!

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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2016, 07:06:12 PM »

With this kind of margin, Comstock would definitely lose, maybe even Janett Ditmar could win.
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Vosem
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« Reply #12 on: October 07, 2016, 07:26:06 PM »

With this kind of margin, Comstock would definitely lose, maybe even Janett Ditmar could win.

It's really hard for me to see Comstock losing without similar Republican freshmen like Katko and McSally (and Rubio, in the Senate), who've successfully distanced themselves from Trump without alienating his supporters also losing, and there's been no sign of that happening.

OTOH, I could definitely imagine Dittmar snagging an open seat, or coming uncomfortably close, with numbers like this atop the ticket.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2016, 07:28:55 PM »

With this kind of margin, Comstock would definitely lose, maybe even Janett Ditmar could win.

It's really hard for me to see Comstock losing without similar Republican freshmen like Katko and McSally (and Rubio, in the Senate), who've successfully distanced themselves from Trump without alienating his supporters also losing, and there's been no sign of that happening.

OTOH, I could definitely imagine Dittmar snagging an open seat, or coming uncomfortably close, with numbers like this atop the ticket.

Comstock's fear has to be that enough Republicans don't show up to vote.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2016, 07:48:40 PM »

I'm not sure I believe this will be the final margin, but if it is, Trump is done in NC as well.

With this kind of margin, Comstock would definitely lose, maybe even Janett Ditmar could win.

Maybe. I wish we saw some internals or something, because I can't really get a pulse on who's ahead. Comstock had a significant yard sign lead up until about two weeks ago where I started seeing a lot more "Clinton / Kaine / Bennett" signs everywhere.

I'm not totally optimistic though, because Comstock has the disgusting trait of selling herself as a moderate when she's far from it.

Comstock's fear has to be that enough Republicans don't show up to vote.

Certainly possible. Trump at the top of the ticket energizes basically no one in the NoVA GOP base.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2016, 07:48:55 PM »

Great poll!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2016, 08:53:15 PM »

Virginia is definitely categorized back to a "Likely," and no longer just "Lean."
Go Hillary/Kaine !
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2016, 08:54:12 PM »

yeah... Virginia is moving into Safe D range.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2016, 08:58:45 PM »

It's really amazing to see VA and NC move to quickly to the left over the last eight years. Next up is GA and TX. I really think the Clinton camp should of laid the ground work now in GA, AZ and TX for 2020/24.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2016, 11:23:35 PM »

TRUMP
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