IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4 (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls

IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4 (search mode)

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Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4 (Read 3454 times)

Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: October 08, 2016, 08:59:10 PM »

Selzer's LV screen is crazy strict.

She missed in the Iowa caucuses, overestimating Trump and underestimating Cruz

She did pretty well on the Democratic side though.

Basically all of the pollsters overestimated Trump there for whatever reason.

Not quite. The Selzer poll was Clinton +3 and it was a "virtual tie" so...

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon

Posts: 19,489

Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2016, 05:37:52 AM »

Selzer's LV screen is crazy strict.

She missed in the Iowa caucuses, overestimating Trump and underestimating Cruz

She did pretty well on the Democratic side though.

Basically all of the pollsters overestimated Trump there for whatever reason.

Not quite. The Selzer poll was Clinton +3 and it was a "virtual tie" so...

MOE? That's a solid poll.

Not for the "Gold Standard"

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