IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR: Trump +4  (Read 3438 times)
dspNY
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« on: October 08, 2016, 07:01:41 PM »

Trump 43, Clinton 39

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/10/08/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-hillary-clinton-by-4-points/91673644/?hootPostID=ecf1d1a2d93c8cc5adf5dbdb66d5fab7
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2016, 07:03:24 PM »


The full numbers: Trump 43, Clinton 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2

Poll taken before the tape came out yesterday and Selzer notes that as an important caveat, indicating that the numbers in this poll might be dated
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2016, 07:07:20 PM »


She missed in the Iowa caucuses, overestimating Trump and underestimating Cruz
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2016, 07:13:25 PM »

Come on, this could have been right yesterday.  Is this that implausible?

Not implausible at all...because Iowa hasn't behaved like normal Iowa this cycle. That being said, Selzer had to add the caveat of grab-gate in the writeup because that would change the polling substantially
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