Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2019, 08:38:10 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  PA/WI/OH-CBS/YouGov: Tie in PA, Feingold +3, Portman +11
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: PA/WI/OH-CBS/YouGov: Tie in PA, Feingold +3, Portman +11  (Read 1214 times)
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,598
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 09, 2016, 08:50:38 am »

Pennsylvania
42% Pat Toomey (R, inc.)
42% Katie McGinty (D)

Wisconsin
45% Russ Feingold (D)
42% Ron Johnson (R, inc.)

Ohio
49% Rob Portman (R, inc.)
38% Ted Strickland (D)

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-gender-gap-in-views-on-trumps-2005-tape/
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2016, 10:32:01 am »

Seems like the actual horserace polling was done before assaultgate, so useless, but I have to say the Feingold number is pretty pathetic.
Logged
Bismarck
Chancellor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,734


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2016, 11:09:07 am »

Good numbers for the GOP. Hopefully Trump can find some way to stop the bleeding at least enough that some of our embattled GOP senators can survive.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,750
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2016, 11:11:01 am »

It's funny, that's Strickland's best number in a while.
Logged
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,667
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2016, 11:12:02 am »

It's funny, that's Strickland's best number in a while.
CBS has always had good Democratic numbers in OH
Logged
Jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,331


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2016, 11:17:16 am »

Wow, lower margin then I would expect for Feingold, but I think Feingold wins easily.

You know what would be very nice.. a non-internal MO Senate poll! Hopefully there is one before election day.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,750
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2016, 11:37:14 am »

I have a gut feeling that Clinton is going to win Wisconsin by around 5 and Feingold will win by around 6-7.
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2016, 11:42:05 am »

No way Feingold is only up 3.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,412
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2016, 12:28:36 pm »

This poll has 91% White in WI which is oversampling White Voters by quite a bit I think in WI. Unless all White voters include Hispanics, this has errors. Another issue is Male 51% which is not representative - So female voters who go more for Feingold need to represented more.

In the end going through the crosstabs I see Feingold tied among White Voters & across all age groups he is strong including the 45-64 or 65+ age group where he is tied or 1-2% odd here n there which is very strong.

I think Feingold will get a 5-6% margin in the end in a normal election. Why on earth in Katie Mcginty doing better among young voters than Russ? I know Sanders has campaigned 3-4 times in 2 weeks for Katie, but I think Warren & Sanders also need to put their weight behind Russ to secure that seat in the next 15 days.

Feingold really needs to do a better among young voters, have a higher margin there!
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,723
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2016, 01:43:37 pm »

Wisconsin poll is a big outlier.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2016, 03:33:05 pm by Ebsy »Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,750
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2016, 01:56:26 pm »

This poll has 91% White in WI which is oversampling White Voters by quite a bit I think in WI. Unless all White voters include Hispanics, this has errors. Another issue is Male 51% which is not representative - So female voters who go more for Feingold need to represented more.

In the end going through the crosstabs I see Feingold tied among White Voters & across all age groups he is strong including the 45-64 or 65+ age group where he is tied or 1-2% odd here n there which is very strong.

I think Feingold will get a 5-6% margin in the end in a normal election. Why on earth in Katie Mcginty doing better among young voters than Russ? I know Sanders has campaigned 3-4 times in 2 weeks for Katie, but I think Warren & Sanders also need to put their weight behind Russ to secure that seat in the next 15 days.

Feingold really needs to do a better among young voters, have a higher margin there!

Sanders and Warren did 4 different events for Clinton/Feingold this week (2 in Madison, 1 in Milwaukee, 1 in Green Bay)
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,346
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2016, 03:46:36 pm »

Johnson has been abandoned by RSCC and the Koch brothers. That says more about the state of the race than any poll.
Logged
Economically Anxious Bush, Romney, Trump, Bernie Voter
jdb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,678
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2016, 05:11:17 pm »

Seems like the actual horserace polling was done before assaultgate, so useless, but I have to say the Feingold number is pretty pathetic.

Regarding Wisconsin, outliers are a thing Tongue
Logged
Figueira
84285
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,787


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2016, 05:13:12 pm »

The same poll showed Clinton only up 4 in Wisconsin, so probably a bad sample.
Logged
RFayette
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,676
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2016, 06:29:45 pm »

I have a gut feeling that Clinton is going to win Wisconsin by around 5 and Feingold will win by around 6-7.

Lol, Clinton is going to win Wisconsin by at least 15.  Trump's going to probably lose this election by 20 points nationally.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,912
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2016, 07:14:27 pm »

Let's keep in mind that this is the last set of polls from before Access Hollywood. We really have no idea what the reaction will be in downballot races.
Logged
Mr.Phips
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,801


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2016, 07:20:58 pm »

Let's keep in mind that this is the last set of polls from before Access Hollywood. We really have no idea what the reaction will be in downballot races.

And I can't see any scenario where the races would be become better for Republicans after the tape.
Logged
RFayette
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,676
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2016, 09:46:51 pm »

Let's keep in mind that this is the last set of polls from before Access Hollywood. We really have no idea what the reaction will be in downballot races.

And I can't see any scenario where the races would be become better for Republicans after the tape.

Yeah, GOP could lose all the Senate seats in competitive races except Ohio, but I don't really know at this point.

All I can say is that no matter who wins (and I'm pretty darn sure it's Clinton), America is doomed, but its fate was sealed long ago.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,412
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2016, 05:36:24 am »

This poll has 91% White in WI which is oversampling White Voters by quite a bit I think in WI. Unless all White voters include Hispanics, this has errors. Another issue is Male 51% which is not representative - So female voters who go more for Feingold need to represented more.

In the end going through the crosstabs I see Feingold tied among White Voters & across all age groups he is strong including the 45-64 or 65+ age group where he is tied or 1-2% odd here n there which is very strong.

I think Feingold will get a 5-6% margin in the end in a normal election. Why on earth in Katie Mcginty doing better among young voters than Russ? I know Sanders has campaigned 3-4 times in 2 weeks for Katie, but I think Warren & Sanders also need to put their weight behind Russ to secure that seat in the next 15 days.

Feingold really needs to do a better among young voters, have a higher margin there!

Sanders and Warren did 4 different events for Clinton/Feingold this week (2 in Madison, 1 in Milwaukee, 1 in Green Bay)

Sanders did 1 rally for Feingold I think (not sure? But I saw that video). I saw 4 videos of Sanders with Katie in PA at 4 different times. I think they are doing their best to get Katie elected but Feingold should be doing a little better among younger voters & this election will be over in WI!
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines