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| | | | |-+  PA/WI/OH-CBS/YouGov: Tie in PA, Feingold +3, Portman +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA/WI/OH-CBS/YouGov: Tie in PA, Feingold +3, Portman +11  (Read 1219 times)
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« on: October 09, 2016, 12:28:36 pm »

This poll has 91% White in WI which is oversampling White Voters by quite a bit I think in WI. Unless all White voters include Hispanics, this has errors. Another issue is Male 51% which is not representative - So female voters who go more for Feingold need to represented more.

In the end going through the crosstabs I see Feingold tied among White Voters & across all age groups he is strong including the 45-64 or 65+ age group where he is tied or 1-2% odd here n there which is very strong.

I think Feingold will get a 5-6% margin in the end in a normal election. Why on earth in Katie Mcginty doing better among young voters than Russ? I know Sanders has campaigned 3-4 times in 2 weeks for Katie, but I think Warren & Sanders also need to put their weight behind Russ to secure that seat in the next 15 days.

Feingold really needs to do a better among young voters, have a higher margin there!
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2016, 05:36:24 am »

This poll has 91% White in WI which is oversampling White Voters by quite a bit I think in WI. Unless all White voters include Hispanics, this has errors. Another issue is Male 51% which is not representative - So female voters who go more for Feingold need to represented more.

In the end going through the crosstabs I see Feingold tied among White Voters & across all age groups he is strong including the 45-64 or 65+ age group where he is tied or 1-2% odd here n there which is very strong.

I think Feingold will get a 5-6% margin in the end in a normal election. Why on earth in Katie Mcginty doing better among young voters than Russ? I know Sanders has campaigned 3-4 times in 2 weeks for Katie, but I think Warren & Sanders also need to put their weight behind Russ to secure that seat in the next 15 days.

Feingold really needs to do a better among young voters, have a higher margin there!

Sanders and Warren did 4 different events for Clinton/Feingold this week (2 in Madison, 1 in Milwaukee, 1 in Green Bay)

Sanders did 1 rally for Feingold I think (not sure? But I saw that video). I saw 4 videos of Sanders with Katie in PA at 4 different times. I think they are doing their best to get Katie elected but Feingold should be doing a little better among younger voters & this election will be over in WI!
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