YouGov National: Clinton+6
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Author Topic: YouGov National: Clinton+6  (Read 1652 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: October 09, 2016, 04:59:24 PM »
« edited: October 09, 2016, 05:04:06 PM by Ozymandias »
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/10/09/clinton-leads-six-points-trump-support-falls/

"The new Economist/YouGov Poll was conducted mostly after the release of a 2005 video recording of Trump making vulgar statements about women"

Clinton - 44
Trump - 38
Johnson - 5
Stein - 1

10/7-10/8

YouGov had it Clinton 43, Trump 40, Johnson 5, Stein 3 last week.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2016, 05:00:36 PM »
Uh oh.

Trump is f**ked.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2016, 05:00:53 PM »
Wonder how much wider that gap can get once the PussyGate effect and a disastrous 2nd debate performance kick in.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2016, 05:01:41 PM »
The turmoil of the last few days in the race for the Presidency have given Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton her widest lead over Republican Donald Trump in two months.

Clinton 44 (43)
Trump 38 (40)
Johnson 5 (5)
Stein 1 (3)

The never consider number is spiking.
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Wells
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2016, 05:04:08 PM »
And the collapse has only just begun.
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Person Man
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2016, 05:05:48 PM »
So, it could be more like Clinton +7 or +8. Hopefully Hillary doesn't choke tonight so we can wrap this thing up!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2016, 05:06:30 PM »
This poll has had very little variability over the election. This is a big deal.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2016, 05:06:38 PM »
The 3 point increase for Hillary is the largest for this poll since she got a 3 point increase after the DNC.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2016, 05:07:03 PM »
What a beautiful poll! You're not going to BELIEVE the numbers coming out next week, folks. It's going to be amazing, simply amazing. Astonishing in the best way. Thank you, YouGov!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2016, 05:08:43 PM »





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heatcharger
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2016, 05:10:37 PM »
The fact that Stein is tanking is also interesting...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2016, 05:16:28 PM »
Dems
Clinton 87%
Trump 6%
Johnson 1%
Stein 1%

GOP
Trump 81%
Johnson 6%
Clinton 3%
Stein 0%

Indies
Clinton 36%
Trump 35%
Johnson 8%
Stein 2%

men: Trump +2
women: Clinton +15
under age 30: Clinton +43
30-44: Clinton +7
45-64: Trump +6
over age 65: Clinton +2
whites: Trump +12
blacks: Clinton +78
Hispanics: Clinton +33
liberals: Clinton +75
moderates: Clinton +25
conservatives: Trump +57
under $50k income: Clinton +6
$50-100k income: Trump +2
over $100k income: Clinton +19

Yes, the crosstabs actually have those making over $100k as Clinton’s best income group.

fav/unfav %:
Clinton 44/53% for -9%
Trump 34/63% for -29%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2016, 05:21:25 PM »
Clinton is winning senior citizens, my guess is it is driven by those from the Greatest/Silent Generation that loved FDR and also remember Fascism in Europe and don't want it coming to America.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2016, 05:26:21 PM »
In their most recent poll:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/82ukqyqyn7/econTabReport.pdf

Clinton was also doing better with those making over $100k than with those making between $50 and $100k.  However the last poll had her +2 among among those over $100k, and now it's moved to +19, making it her most improved demo over last week's poll.

The other categories where she improved a lot are voters under 30 and self-described moderates (13 point swing for both groups).
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Person Man
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2016, 05:26:44 PM »
The silly thing is that as one climbs in the polls, their downballot suffers.
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Rand
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2016, 05:29:48 PM »
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2016, 05:33:11 PM »
I don't believe that the margin among hispanics will only be 33 points, but that's just me.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2016, 05:33:26 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on October 09, 2016, 05:06:30 PM
This poll has had very little variability over the election. This is a big deal.

Yeah, sizable shift for this poll. The never consider number is devastating.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #18 on: October 09, 2016, 05:38:09 PM »
Pretty underwhelming - absolutely no shift in the two-way and Trump has been at 53% on the 'never consider' question before, as the charts show.

Still more tapes to come though apparently.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #19 on: October 09, 2016, 06:00:07 PM »
Quote from: Phony Moderate on October 09, 2016, 05:38:09 PM
Pretty underwhelming - absolutely no shift in the two-way and Trump has been at 53% on the 'never consider' question before, as the charts show.

Still more tapes to come though apparently.
This is before the tapes.  Yah know that right.
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Person Man
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« Reply #20 on: October 09, 2016, 06:11:24 PM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on October 09, 2016, 06:00:07 PM
Quote from: Phony Moderate on October 09, 2016, 05:38:09 PM
Pretty underwhelming - absolutely no shift in the two-way and Trump has been at 53% on the 'never consider' question before, as the charts show.

Still more tapes to come though apparently.
This is before the tapes.  Yah know that right.

Half of it was. Half of it wasn't. It could be 7-9 by now.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2016, 06:15:24 PM »
Not bad.
The juicy polls will come out later this week or early part of the following week.
Expect a national lead by Clinton in the +7 to +9 range.
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Xing
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« Reply #22 on: October 09, 2016, 06:29:05 PM »
The fat lady's doing an arpeggio now, folks. She's almost ready to hit that final high note!
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OneJ
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« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2016, 07:04:24 PM »
Black Voters-87% have a Very/Somewhat Favorable view of Hillary, but 88% have an unfavorable view of Trump.
-72% think Hillary is honest and trustworthy.
-75% think of Trump as "crazy".
-68% are voting mostly FOR Hillary.

-The Black vote is not fleeing from Hillary.
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OneJ
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« Reply #24 on: October 09, 2016, 07:14:13 PM »
Also the Under 30 crowd has a 56% favorable view of Hillary.
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