NBC/WSJ National: Clinton+11 (4-way) / +14
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ National: Clinton+11 (4-way) / +14  (Read 10736 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: October 10, 2016, 11:00:51 AM »
« edited: October 10, 2016, 11:13:43 AM by Ozymandias »
National poll taken entirely post-pgate but pre-debate:

Clinton - 46
Trump - 35
Johnson - 9
Stein - 2

(Was Clinton+6 in Sept.)

Head-to-head:

Clinton - 52
Trump - 38

(Was Clinton+7 in Sept.)

10/8-10/9, 447 LVs

Congressional Ballot preference: Democrats +7 (highest since Oct 2013 during shutdown)

Artilce: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-after-trump-tape-revelation-clinton-s-lead-double-digits-n663691

Poll (thanks Mr. Morden!):
https://www.scribd.com/document/327067170/161027-NBCWSJ-October-N-500-Poll
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2016, 11:01:21 AM »
Night Trump.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2016, 11:01:47 AM »
First heard about this on CNBC from Harwood... holy crap
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2016, 11:01:57 AM »
holy pussy...+14 in the two way
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2016, 11:02:10 AM »
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2016, 11:02:31 AM »
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2016, 11:02:52 AM »
woahh
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I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2016, 11:03:08 AM »
Imagine if more tapes are revealed. He could do worse than Goldwater.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2016, 11:03:24 AM »
« Edited: October 10, 2016, 11:05:25 AM by Ronnie »
I hope this came out just in time for the RNC dump talks.

Thank you, Marist!  And more importantly, thank you America!
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2016, 11:03:45 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:19 AM »
Looks like Trump will be receiving a nice spanking on election day!
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Person Man
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:28 AM »
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:31 AM »
Here's the poll:

https://www.scribd.com/document/327067170/161027-NBCWSJ-October-N-500-Poll
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:39 AM »
Magnificent!
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:50 AM »
Live Video from RNC Headquarters: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1jf2hOkec4
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mark_twain
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« Reply #15 on: October 10, 2016, 11:05:38 AM »
Double thumbs-up!

Bye-bye, Donald Trump!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2016, 11:08:16 AM »
Favorables:

Clinton 40/50 (-10)
Trump 29/63 (-34)
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2016, 11:09:17 AM »
In terms of what you have seen, read, or heard about what Donald Trump said on the video tape, does it seem to you this is better described as ...(ROTATE TOP TWO)

1) Inappropriate, but typical of how some men talk in private with other men ..................... 31%

2) Completely unacceptable because it crosses a boundary into describing kissing and touching women in a sexual way without their consent ........................... 41%

there goes the deciding locker room vote.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2016, 11:09:46 AM »
Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, Alaska, Indiana, and even Texas are all potentially in play now.
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Deblano
EdgarAllenYOLO
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« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2016, 11:09:50 AM »
Oh, this is probably some obscure po-
...
...
...
It's NBC/WSJ...
...
...
...My God.....
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2016, 11:10:59 AM »
Assuming a uniform swing, a 11-point Clinton win would look like:



Not as pronounced as you might think

14 point Clinton win:



But, if you bring it up to a 17-point margin:


20 point margin:


24 point margin:


Now, the flaw in this is that it doesn't factor in elasticity or trends.  For example, I'm far more worried about Alaska than Mississippi.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #21 on: October 10, 2016, 11:11:11 AM »
“What do you think Republican candidates for Congress should do on [the issue of the Trump hot mic]?”
Responses from Republican voters:
-continue to support Trump as the nominee 67%
-call on Trump to drop out of the race 14%
-say they can’t support him anymore 9%
-not sure 10%
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #22 on: October 10, 2016, 11:11:23 AM »
Quote from: EdgarAllenYOLO on October 10, 2016, 11:09:50 AM
Oh, this is probably some obscure po-
...
...
...
It's NBC/WSJ...
...
...
...My God.....
https://youtu.be/5FBFVY0CUYk?t=2
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Rand
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« Reply #23 on: October 10, 2016, 11:11:29 AM »
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Iosif
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« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2016, 11:12:03 AM »
Congressional Republicans

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