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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  UT: Y2 Analytics- Tie
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Author Topic: UT: Y2 Analytics- Tie  (Read 6574 times)
Fargobison
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« on: October 12, 2016, 12:55:59 am »

Clinton 26
Trump 26
McMullin 22
Johnson 14

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865664606/Poll-Trump-falls-into-tie-with-Clinton-among-Utah-voters.html?pg=all
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2016, 12:57:29 am »

Clinton 26
Trump 26
McMullin 22
Johnson 14

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865664606/Poll-Trump-falls-into-tie-with-Clinton-among-Utah-voters.html?pg=all

Well there it is

#BattlegroundUtah
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2016, 12:58:59 am »

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Lok
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2016, 12:59:08 am »

Oh... My... God...
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2016, 01:01:19 am »

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Hugo Award nominee
Nathan
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2016, 01:04:08 am »

A Y Y L M A O
Y                A
Y                M
L                 L
M                Y
A                Y
O A M L Y Y A
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2016, 01:06:45 am »

plus:

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What a banner day for the Atlas Forum!
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Ronnie
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2016, 01:07:28 am »

OMG!  This is amazing!

Go McMuffin, go!
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ReapSow
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2016, 01:08:10 am »

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publicunofficial
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2016, 01:08:15 am »

Img


Came here to post this exact gif.

GO EGG MCMUFFIN.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2016, 01:09:43 am »

Quote
McMullin’s ballot strength is striking considering that only 52 percent of voters are aware enough of his candidacy to offer an opinion, according to Y2 Analytics. However, among those that recognize his name, four out of five see him favorably.


Does McMuffin win if Romney endorses?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2016, 01:09:54 am »

plus:

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What a banner day for the Atlas Forum!
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Join our illustrious forum, you hack fraud!
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darthpi
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2016, 01:11:46 am »

If McMullin wins there, it will be the first time a non-segregationist third-party ticket wins a state in 92 years.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2016, 01:12:49 am »

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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2016, 01:14:29 am »

Glorious news!
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #15 on: October 12, 2016, 01:15:06 am »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=13&v=1MWX6X0A85I
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Ronnie
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« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2016, 01:16:35 am »

Does anyone think some Johnson voters might flip to McMullin?  I imagine word about this poll will go around pretty quickly in Utah.
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2016, 01:19:13 am »

Does anyone think some Johnson voters might flip to McMullin?  I imagine word about this poll will go around pretty quickly in Utah.

Seems like a safe bet.  I'm actually impressed McMullin is doing this well considering he hasn't had any high-profile elected endorsements.  I'm sure he has room to grow, especially from Johnson (who's obviously over-polling here still, and I'm sure a lot of that is Mormon protest vote).

I'm not sure whether this will carry over to Election Day, but man, this would be one hell of an historical footnote.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2016, 01:20:26 am »

Johnson + McMullin = 36%
Clinton = 26%
Trump = 26%
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2016, 01:20:47 am »

Quote
McMullin’s ballot strength is striking considering that only 52 percent of voters are aware enough of his candidacy to offer an opinion, according to Y2 Analytics. However, among those that recognize his name, four out of five see him favorably.


Does McMuffin win if Romney endorses?

You betcha!
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2016, 01:23:26 am »

Highly unlikely to matter, but would still be fun if McMullin won Utah.
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Reluctant Republican
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2016, 01:25:01 am »

Unless I am mistaken, this election could tie 1912 in the number of candidates who get more than 1% of the vote, which if I am not mistaken was the record year. 5 then, and Trump, Clinton, Johnson, McMullin, and Stein now. Johnson and McMullin seem all but guaranteed, so it will be interesting if Stein can make it as well.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2016, 01:27:16 am »

What's the all time record for the lowest popular vote %age for the winner of a state in US presidential elections?  I just looked up the 1912 race, and Wilson managed to win Idaho with just 32% of the vote.  Is that the record?  Any chance that Utah could actually beat that record this time?
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Vosem
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« Reply #23 on: October 12, 2016, 01:27:44 am »

Quote
McMullin’s ballot strength is striking considering that only 52 percent of voters are aware enough of his candidacy to offer an opinion, according to Y2 Analytics. However, among those that recognize his name, four out of five see him favorably.


Does McMuffin win if Romney endorses?

Considering the undecideds are mostly his most favorable demographic, I'd say McMuffin is on track to win unless Romney endorses someone else. A Romney endorsement could probably get him over 50 in Utah and in with a shot in Idaho
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2016, 01:35:41 am »

Bragging about crotch-grabbing is one way for a Republican to lose Utah. I'd love to see Mormons show Donald Trump the folly of offending a significant world religion.
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