WI - Marquette: Clinton+7 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 04, 2024, 02:24:41 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  WI - Marquette: Clinton+7 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WI - Marquette: Clinton+7  (Read 6619 times)
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,907
United States


« on: October 12, 2016, 12:24:35 PM »

Good but not great poll for Clinton. With Pennsylvania virtually gone Trump has to at least try Wisconsin
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,907
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2016, 12:30:15 PM »
« Edited: October 12, 2016, 12:31:54 PM by dspNY »

Marquette is breaking down the poll down day by day to show a significant effect from the Trump tapes

Trump led by 1 point in WI before the tapes
By Sunday, Clinton led by 19

They're going to have to do another poll to see what the debate did to the numbers. Is Clinton holding a massive lead or did Trump stanch the bleeding to make it mildly competitive
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,907
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2016, 12:38:46 PM »

The 538 Nowcast has Clinton +8.6 in WI so a Clinton +7 makes sense
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,907
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2016, 12:41:45 PM »

Trump was leading? After the first debate? And people think he's not going to pull ahead by next month, after weeks of Trump's smear campaign against Clinton which apparently the joke state of WI is so eager to buy into? LOL

Trump will win WI, IA, OH and probably the election. I'm not following this race anymore. Just don't care.

All the internals in this poll favor Clinton substantially to the point where a double-digit victory for her in WI is more likely than a nailbiter

Also remember that Clinton likely has more big oppo dumps on Trump that are damaging (the Access Hollywood tape was almost certainly a coordinated oppo drop)
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,907
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2016, 03:40:46 PM »

Trump's Pussygate gaffe could be disproportionately bad for him in the Upper Midwestern 'Nice' states as well as the states in the Mormon corridor like Idaho and Utah. That type of behavior Trump talked about could be seen much more as 'locker room talk' in PA or Ohio, but completely unacceptable by the vast majority in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

You could include the Dakotas, Nebraska and Kansas as well. Not sure those states will move enough to Clinton but we could see polls out of those states showing Trump's lead far below that of a conventional Repub
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 13 queries.