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Author Topic: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4  (Read 1041 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 12, 2016, 03:02:51 pm »

Link.

Cortez-Masto - 43%
Heck - 39%
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2016, 03:04:43 pm »

Hello Senate majority.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2016, 03:08:11 pm »

Way too many umdecideds, and Heck will likely outperform Trump by quite a bit, even if he loses.
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Justice Blair
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2016, 03:09:13 pm »

Hello Senate majority.
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ursulahx
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2016, 03:13:10 pm »

Poll done for CCM's campaign, but good to see nevertheless.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2016, 03:13:47 pm »

Quote
80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.

Internet polls are notoriously unreliable. This is also a CCM internal, so...
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2016, 03:17:14 pm »

This was predictable.
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🌈Rainbow Jihad
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2016, 03:20:43 pm »

You're welcome, Atlas.

My meme magic knows no bounds.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2016, 03:22:04 pm »

Quote
80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.

Internet polls are notoriously unreliable. This is also a CCM internal, so...

This is how PPP does all there polls, internet polling has gotten much better recently too.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2016, 03:23:37 pm »

Wow!
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Bernie 2020
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2016, 03:28:06 pm »

lol a literal internal
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2016, 03:36:39 pm »

This has got to be the first positive poll for CCM in ages
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2016, 03:44:30 pm »

Way too many umdecideds, and Heck will likely outperform Trump by quite a bit, even if he loses.
Agree on all accounts, but I'm relieved that this is at least an internal.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2016, 04:06:37 pm »

This has got to be the first positive poll for CCM in ages

I'd even say it's the first genuinely good Senate poll for Democrats in quite a while.

When was it conducted?
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2016, 04:12:42 pm »

lol a literal internal

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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #15 on: October 12, 2016, 05:03:11 pm »

I guess unendorsing Trump hurt Heck, rather than helping him. If this is accurate, Heck's done. He needs to overperform Trump by at least 6, though given the past week, probably more than that.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2016, 05:45:41 pm »


Democratic internal polls were better than much of the public polling in 2012.
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mencken
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« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2016, 06:09:48 pm »


Democratic internal polls were better than much of the public polling in 2012.

Were these internals publicly released before the election, or revealed after the fact. I do not doubt that internals are generally more accurate than public polling, but I suspect that one tail of the bell curve is usually omitted in public releases of internals, which inherently biases publicly released internals.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2016, 07:52:32 pm »

New Poll: Nevada Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2016-10-11

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, U: 18%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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