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Author Topic: OR-SUSA: Brown +4  (Read 1037 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: October 14, 2016, 08:10:02 am »

46% Kate Brown (D, inc.)
42% Bud Pierce (R)

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« Last Edit: October 14, 2016, 08:17:15 am by TN Volunteer »Logged



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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2016, 08:14:29 am »

Wow, what a homophobic state!!
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2016, 09:01:00 am »

Something is up here. What sort of person is a Wyden/Clinton/Pierce voter? In any case, this clearly isn't Safe D anymore.
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2016, 09:04:50 am »

Maybe Likely D now, but I think this poll is off, given the presidential numbers. Let's hope Kate isn't the new Anthony.
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2016, 12:57:55 pm »

Something is up here. What sort of person is a Wyden/Clinton/Pierce voter? In any case, this clearly isn't Safe D anymore.
I have to imagine some of this is Wyden/Johnson/Pierce libertarian/moderate voters.
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2016, 02:16:28 pm »

Brown will likely win by 7-10%. It's always hard to really accurately gauge where a race is at in states that receive such infrequent polling. Safe D.
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So it goes. heya.
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2016, 02:18:58 pm »

Gubernatorial elections in Oregon are often very close, but Republicans are never able to get the last 2%-4% they need to win. Pierce isnt a bad candidate, but this is still Likely D.
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2016, 02:20:29 pm »

Not likely. Clinton is probably up by more than 10 in OR, anyway.
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2016, 08:30:01 pm »

The GOP is just dead in OR.  They can't win anything.  Unlike it's northern neighbor, the GOP can't put out decent candidates here. 
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2016, 08:46:50 pm »

The GOP is just dead in OR.  They can't win anything.  Unlike it's northern neighbor, the GOP can't put out decent candidates here. 
In Washington, Republicans at least still win occasional statewide races, hold 4 Congressional seats, and keep control of the state legislative houses close. In Oregon, there really isn't even a Republican bench.
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2016, 07:10:17 pm »

Safe D, stop trying to make races where there are none.
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