ABC News/Washington Post National Poll: Clinton+4

[Gass3268]

4 is well within the range of statistical noise

Exactly, she's up anywhere between 6-8% on average. 4% totally within that range just the same way the NBC +11 was.

Also it's a 2 point improvement since their last poll and it's Drudge.

[Gass3268]

I'll believe it when I see it, especially coming from Drudge.

Drudge wouldn't lie about it.  He probably has access to tomorrow's Washington Post right now.  In some places, you can get an early edition of the Sunday paper on Saturday night.

He lied about exit polls during the primary.

[Gass3268]

Clinton wouldn't be doing zero events this weekend if she was only up by low single digits.

[Gass3268]

Mark Murray replied to Harry Enten on Drudge leaking the margin:


https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/787494808973631488

@mmurraypolitics
@ForecasterEnten To quote Yoda: "No, there is ... another"

Any idea what he means?

Maybe NBC news will have a new poll out with a big Clinton margin? Who knows.

Harry is also laughing at the idea of Trump being up 4 is good news for the Fascists.

[Gass3268]

Screw the margin, Hillary in the high 40's is excellent!

Trump can't win in the low 40's / high 30's.

Expecting good news out of an NBC or Marist national poll tomorrow or Monday.

[Gass3268]

Yeah, this isn't a bad poll at all looking at its guts.

[Gass3268]

I am afraid, this is exactly where the race is. Not at all comfortable.

We've got YouGov and SurveyMonkey tomorrow and Marist on Monday to hopefully disprove that.

Monmouth too

[Gass3268]

This poll essentially tells me that GOTV will be essentially and we all know where the two camps stand on that front.

[Gass3268]

Although the topline isn't fantastic, the internals of the poll are certainly solid for Clinton.  She continues to do very well with independents and college-educated whites, which allows her to narrowly "outperform" the party ID split by a couple of points.

Since party ID is fluid, it's tough to guess exactly how it's gonna come out, but Clinton is currently in a great position for a 5-10 point national margin if she just gets out the Dem base.

Exactly this feels much better than the topline.

[Gass3268]

Of course 538 would adjust this down to Clinton +3 even though almost every other ABC poll in the past has been adjusted up. What a joke.

[Gass3268]

Trump just tweeted that he hrc is down 11 points with women voters in the poll

No, he's down 8 with women.