LA-JMC: Trump +7
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:29:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  LA-JMC: Trump +7
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: LA-JMC: Trump +7  (Read 1811 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 17, 2016, 07:09:06 AM »

http://winwithjmc.com/archives/7488
Trump's down from 10 in September, 15 in July.

Trump 45
Clinton 38
Johnson 4
Stein 1
Undecided 12
Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,578


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 07:10:07 AM »

WTF? How is Trump leading in Los Angeles?
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 07:12:36 AM »

WTF? How is Trump leading in Los Angeles?

I hope your being deliberately obtuse.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,351


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 07:12:47 AM »

WTF? How is Trump leading in Los Angeles?

No, it's Lower Alabama (i.e. the Florida Panhandle). Wink
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,619
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 07:42:46 AM »

Maybe Trump should do a rally with David Duke to firm up his support.
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 08:16:57 AM »

http://winwithjmc.com/archives/7488
Trump's down from 10 in September, 15 in July.

Trump 45
Clinton 38
Johnson 4
Stein 1
Undecided 12

@Tender: Obama lost Louisiana by 17 in 2012 while winning the election by 4.  I suppose this 10 point swing in margin would suggest a national PV margin of 14 for Clinton, correct? 
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 08:23:56 AM »

No senate poll?
I'm curious Tongue
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 08:37:37 AM »

Very low energy margin in what should be one of Trump's safest states. Sad!
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 08:55:32 AM »

New Poll: Louisiana President by JMC Enterprises on 2016-10-15

Summary: D: 38%, R: 45%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 09:50:35 AM »

As much as I’d love it, the fake billionaire is not in danger of losing LA, though these numbers are pretty weak for a GOPer. Especially that he’s well under 50%.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 09:52:22 AM »


They did poll it, see the appropriate board.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,842
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 10:01:37 AM »

http://winwithjmc.com/archives/7488
Trump's down from 10 in September, 15 in July.

Trump 45
Clinton 38
Johnson 4
Stein 1
Undecided 12

@Tender: Obama lost Louisiana by 17 in 2012 while winning the election by 4.  I suppose this 10 point swing in margin would suggest a national PV margin of 14 for Clinton, correct? 

Another possibility: the regional polarization that so marked elections involving Barack Obama is no longer as severe. Many white people in the Mountain and and Deep South who used to vote Democratic for Carter or Clinton distrusted Barack Obama because he is ... I need not say it. Can they 'come home'? Maybe to some extent.

There will not be a 10-point national swing in the vote from Obama to Clinton even in a landslide. The biggest large swings are likely in states that Barack Obama lost by huge margins. Even swings are for small margins in close elections.

Of course we might also see a Trump collapse this time.
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 10:11:17 AM »

http://winwithjmc.com/archives/7488
Trump's down from 10 in September, 15 in July.

Trump 45
Clinton 38
Johnson 4
Stein 1
Undecided 12

@Tender: Obama lost Louisiana by 17 in 2012 while winning the election by 4.  I suppose this 10 point swing in margin would suggest a national PV margin of 14 for Clinton, correct? 

Another possibility: the regional polarization that so marked elections involving Barack Obama is no longer as severe. Many white people in the Mountain and and Deep South who used to vote Democratic for Carter or Clinton distrusted Barack Obama because he is ... I need not say it. Can they 'come home'? Maybe to some extent.

There will not be a 10-point national swing in the vote from Obama to Clinton even in a landslide. The biggest large swings are likely in states that Barack Obama lost by huge margins. Even swings are for small margins in close elections.

Of course we might also see a Trump collapse this time.

I was obviously just taking a shot at our resident sweaty dog, pbrower.  No need for #analysis. 
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2016, 10:13:31 AM »

I mean, the national polling has shown Clinton substantially improving on Obama's numbers with whites. It is not surprising then that states in the South might narrow considerably.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2016, 12:40:45 PM »

delicious
Logged
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,831


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2016, 12:41:58 PM »

WTF? How is Trump leading in Los Angeles?

ROFL
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,582
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2016, 01:18:26 PM »

Bill Clinton won here twice. Clearly Hillary's in trouble. Tongue
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2016, 02:57:50 PM »

It looks like the sexual misconduct allegations against Trump are starting to impact even heavily Republican parts of the Deep South.

Time for another poll of Mississippi and South Carolina anyone? Wink
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2016, 03:13:54 PM »

It looks like the sexual misconduct allegations against Trump are starting to impact even heavily Republican parts of the Deep South.

Time for another poll of Mississippi and South Carolina anyone? Wink

You already know I'm down for this! Smiley
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2016, 04:23:30 PM »

It looks like the sexual misconduct allegations against Trump are starting to impact even heavily Republican parts of the Deep South.

Time for another poll of Mississippi and South Carolina anyone? Wink

You already know I'm down for this! Smiley

We're all down with that brother!!!!

Obviously LA isn't gonna flip this year, despite the increased number of Katrina refugees moving back home from places like Houston, Texas, and maybe some Cajun Catholics reverting to their traditional Democratic voting patterns, and some older White Evangelical ladies that can't stomach the Trump.

However if LA is really this close, what the heck is going on down in MS and SC, where it doesn't take a huge swing of White voters to move those states to proper tossup-status?

Shoot.... I never would have thought my former state of Texas would be anywhere close for another decade or more, but the Trump Train is going off the tracks to the point where we are even discussing these possibilities!

This poll might well be crap, but now we are finally starting to see both national polls, as well as those in solidly Republican states swing heavily after the sexual battery/assault charges by nine different ladies.... In the "Babble Belt" that dog don't hunt and needs to be put down. Smiley

Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 08:00:47 PM »

Bill Clinton won here twice. Clearly Hillary's in trouble. Tongue

In 1996, LA voted for Bill by 12-13 points while he won nationally by 8-9. Clinton didn't just barely squeak out a win like he did in TN or KY, but that was a solid landslide in LA. Maybe its time to send Bill back into Cajun country.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 14 queries.