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June 19, 2019, 03:59:19 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  OR-Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research: Hillary+7
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Author Topic: OR-Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research: Hillary+7  (Read 385 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 18, 2016, 02:58:56 pm »

43% Hillary
36% Trump
  7% Johnson
  5% Stein
  3% Others

Quote
Oregon Public Broadcasting October Statewide Survey
October 6-13, 2016; N=600

http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/hillary-clinton-kate-brown-lead-in-new-opb-poll

http://res.cloudinary.com/bdy4ger4/image/upload/v1476741090/OPBNewPoll_bwepki.pdf
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 02:59:56 pm »

Don't know much about this firm. Probably underselling Clinton a bit through 3rd party inflation.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2016, 04:06:52 pm »

Safe D, pollsters will probably undersell Clinton's Margin here like they did with Obama in 2012.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2016, 07:44:54 pm »

This poll does seem a little bunk, although as I have stated elsewhere in states that seem "Safe R" and "Safe D" one will typically see higher level of respondents telling pollsters they will support 3rd Party candidates, and it perhaps is not surprising that as national poll numbers look more dire for Trump more Oregonians are feeling comfortable backing minor party candidates as protest votes.

Also, I will officially predict that Stein will outperform Johnson in Oregon in November.
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