Quinnipiac-CO: Clinton +8, FL: Clinton + 4, OH: Tied , PA: Clinton +6
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  Quinnipiac-CO: Clinton +8, FL: Clinton + 4, OH: Tied , PA: Clinton +6
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-CO: Clinton +8, FL: Clinton + 4, OH: Tied , PA: Clinton +6  (Read 4316 times)
BoAtlantis
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« on: October 17, 2016, 02:01:55 PM »

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2388

CO
Clinton 45
Trump 37
Johnson 10

FL
Clinton 48
Trump 44
Johnson 4

OH
Clinton 45
Trump 45
Johnson 6

PA
Clinton 47
Trump 41
Johnson 6
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 02:02:43 PM »

This are pretty good numbers for HRC. Quinnipiac has had a GOP house effect the entire cycle.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 02:03:04 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2016, 02:05:39 PM by Spicy Purrito »

That's about right if we are talking a seven point election.  So yeah. Maybe Trump can stage a comeback in the Northeast but that will be a Hail Mary. He's pretty much done in Colorado and Florida seems to be slipping. He's strong-ish in Ohio.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 02:03:26 PM »

Considering Q's Trump lean, these numbers look excellent!
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 02:03:44 PM »

blowout.....
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Fargobison
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 02:04:55 PM »

Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:
Colorado: Clinton tops Trump 51 - 40 percent;
Florida: Clinton over Trump 49 - 45 percent;
Ohio: Trump at 48 percent to Clinton's 47 percent;
Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump 51 - 45 percent.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 02:06:38 PM »

Well .... it seems that Hillary and Kaine have some work to do in Ohio.
I wonder if sending Sanders and Obama there can help ?
Some recent polling for OH is starting to concern me (though Clinton is still looking very good in the Dem FireWall, and especially in the rich-EC state of Florida).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 02:06:58 PM »

Stein is at 3% in CO and 1% in the other three states.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 02:07:06 PM »

The writing is on the wall, Don.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 02:08:52 PM »

Stein is at 3% in CO and 1% in the other three states.

She really fell apart, didn't she?
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Person Man
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 02:09:41 PM »

Well .... it seems that Hillary and Kaine have some work to do in Ohio.
I wonder if sending Sanders and Obama there can help ?
Some recent polling for OH is starting to concern me (though Clinton is still looking very good in the Dem FireWall, and especially in the rich-EC state of Florida).

So, that's 300-302 votes that are outside the MoE, then? It seems that North Carolina and Nevada are the D wildcards, Georgia and Arizona are the R wildcards and Iowa and Ohio are the true tossups at this point.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 02:13:47 PM »

WOW! Even this hack Republican pollster has Cinton surging! GREAT HONOR!
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 02:14:30 PM »

still don't believe iowa is going back....proto-state for trump's shtick.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2016, 02:15:35 PM »

Clinton gained 6 points in CO
Trump gain 1 point in FL
Clinton gained 5 points in OH
Clinton gained 2 points in PA
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2016, 02:16:25 PM »

FL is definitely Lean D, at this point. CO is absolutely gone and PA is probably gone. OH is looking close, but given Q's lean, I'll take a tie.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2016, 02:16:48 PM »

Loving those Florida numbers!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2016, 02:17:01 PM »

Stein is at 3% in CO and 1% in the other three states.

She really fell apart, didn't she?

Did she? She was always polling pretty low.

I could see her doing alright in CO, the other three states are terrible for her.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2016, 02:17:22 PM »

Does any Pennsylvania resident know if this is true?

PENNSYLVANIA LIKELY VOTERS

Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom Wht NonWht
34%   42%   20% 44% 56% 80% 18%


I have a hard time believing that women make up 56% of PA voters and that's weighted btw.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2016, 02:18:49 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2016, 02:22:47 PM by john cage bubblegum »

These are the kind of state margins I think we'd see in a 5 point Clinton win nationally.  Given that Quinnipiac has had a slight Republican lean this cycle, that checks out pretty well.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2016, 02:22:15 PM »

Stein is at 3% in CO and 1% in the other three states.

She really fell apart, didn't she?

Did she? She was always polling pretty low.

I could see her doing alright in CO, the other three states are terrible for her.

In the summer she was pulling 4-5% in some states.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 02:30:17 PM »

Stein is at 3% in CO and 1% in the other three states.

She really fell apart, didn't she?

Did she? She was always polling pretty low.

I could see her doing alright in CO, the other three states are terrible for her.

In the summer she was pulling 4-5% in some states.

Stein is like your typical far-left protest vote, much like whipped cream, deflates at the slightest hint of pressure.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2016, 02:41:32 PM »

Is it petty of me to hope Clinton loses OH and wins FL so there record of voting for the winner can be broken?! Ultimately, hope she wins both
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2016, 02:50:05 PM »

Nate Silver adjusted +2 Clinton for all four states.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2016, 02:53:47 PM »

Quinnipiac is terribly republican leaning in Colorado, so Clinton +8 is pretty glorious.

In fact all of these numbers are good - especially Clinton at nearly 50 in Florida WITH third parties.

Ohio may not be a swing state much longer Sad
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2016, 02:56:43 PM »

No way can Donald Trump win with these numbers.
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