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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
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Author Topic: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2  (Read 1735 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: October 17, 2016, 02:20:43 pm »
« edited: October 17, 2016, 02:23:30 pm by HillOfANight »

http://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/latest-poll-shows-arizona-is-officially-a-battleground-state
https://www.scribd.com/document/327920049/HG-Survey-Toplines-10-14

Clinton 39
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 3
Someone else 5
Undecided 7
Refused 3

Maricopa County
Clinton +5 (Romney +10)

Pima County
Clinton +24 (Obama +7)
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 02:26:45 pm »

Wonderful news!
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 02:27:03 pm »

Republican firm, I believe
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 02:27:53 pm »

Oh man... 11/8/2016 may be a really fun night...
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 02:29:23 pm »

republican +10%

like some number crunchers said....the independents have decided.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 02:30:13 pm »

Wow! McCain up by 10, but under 50... a late collapse here would be nice.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 02:30:37 pm »

Welp.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 02:32:14 pm »

Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 02:32:34 pm »

Great poll!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 02:32:54 pm »

Clinton up 5 in Maricopa!!
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Ronnie
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 02:33:35 pm »

Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 02:35:10 pm »

Clinton +5 in Maricopa and +27 in Pima seems like it should be larger than +2 statewide?
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 02:35:38 pm »

This close to the election and it's 38.5 to 36.5?! In the words of Trump, we need to stop this until we figure out what the hell is going on! haha
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Fargobison
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2016, 02:37:02 pm »

Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2016, 02:39:47 pm »

Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona,_2012
I calculated the "rural" #s from here, excluding Pima/Maricopa. Obama got 41% and Romney got 57% (16 points).

The poll says he's up 22 among the rural parts... Rural is 24% of the vote.
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2016, 02:43:21 pm »

Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376

This is a guy who thought being up 5 in South Carolina was something to brag about. He'll probably think of it as a bump in the road
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2016, 02:44:12 pm »

Wow! McCain up by 10, but under 50... a late collapse here would be nice.

i want this to happen...we need some surprises on election night!
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2016, 02:44:22 pm »

Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376

I'll do that after I figure out wtf that sentence is
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2016, 02:47:20 pm »

Would love for have Trump lose AZ and have McCain have a blowout so he can hold that over the tiny handed freak.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2016, 03:03:59 pm »

Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.

I know. In order to reconcile Maricopa +5 with Clinton +2, Maricopa turnout would have to be insane.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 03:04:58 pm »

Tremendous!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2016, 03:20:01 pm »

Nice !
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Baki
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2016, 03:26:47 pm »

Good, GOOD!

Michelle Obama will be there, and not a moment too soon.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2016, 05:12:06 pm »

Wow. She might actually win it. Though I'd like to see more polls from more reputable sources first.
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NV less likely to flip than FL/GA/ME/MN/NC/WI
xingkerui
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2016, 05:24:46 pm »

Those third party/undecideds are definitely too high, but I'm loving #BattlegroundArizona. I'm going to guess that Hillary will narrowly win Arizona, knowing that I could be wrong. Sometimes, the kool aid is so sweet, it's worth risking ending up with egg on your face.
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