NM-ZiaPoll: Clinton +10
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  NM-ZiaPoll: Clinton +10
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Author Topic: NM-ZiaPoll: Clinton +10  (Read 1037 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: October 17, 2016, 05:54:46 PM »

Clinton - 46%
Trump - 36%
Johnson - 12%

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http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.s3.amazonaws.com/polls/20161017_NM.pdf
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 05:55:41 PM »

Never heard of this pollster, but it's definitely believable that Johnson is sliding everywhere. Safe D, as expected.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 05:56:06 PM »

If the national numbers are accurate, this seems way too low.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 05:59:16 PM »

I won't believe it until BhuttoPoll confirms it.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 06:07:37 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2016, 06:11:19 PM by Eraserhead »

That's a weak number for Johnson considering this will almost certainly be his best state. Maybe he won't hit double digits anywhere.
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King
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 06:09:28 PM »

Bernie is holding a rally for Hillary in Albuquerque tomorrow: http://krqe.com/2016/10/17/hillary-clinton-sends-bernie-sanders-to-rally-in-new-mexico/

That suggests to me the internals are showing Johnson doing better than this, though Hillary is likely solidly in the lead.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 06:12:09 PM »

.............who?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 06:12:21 PM »

I won't believe it until BhuttoPoll confirms it.

Haha, I see what you did here.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 06:13:45 PM »

Bernie is holding a rally for Hillary in Albuquerque tomorrow: http://krqe.com/2016/10/17/hillary-clinton-sends-bernie-sanders-to-rally-in-new-mexico/

That suggests to me the internals are showing Johnson doing better than this, though Hillary is likely solidly in the lead.
Well, perhaps, but he's also going to be in Arizona tomorrow as it stands.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 06:15:22 PM »

I hereby retract my comments from a month or so ago regarding how the "Old Spanish" Latino residents of NM could be making this state potentially competitive.

Although that community is the real "swing vote" in NM that can both elect moderate Republican Governors and US- House Reps, it appears that the Trump train has become so derailed that it can't even make a state that George W. won in '04 remotely competitive, and likely this poll significantly understates the final results once Millennials/Mexican-Americans actually go the polls come November.

I officially rescind my accolades for even suggesting that there is or was a #BattlegroundNM and will accept my punishment accordingly.

Smiley
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 06:18:20 PM »

Bernie is holding a rally for Hillary in Albuquerque tomorrow: http://krqe.com/2016/10/17/hillary-clinton-sends-bernie-sanders-to-rally-in-new-mexico/

That suggests to me the internals are showing Johnson doing better than this, though Hillary is likely solidly in the lead.

Lagging indicator and Bernie is likely there to build the movement for 2018 and 2020 and the Democratic Party of New Mexico, where he almost accomplished an amazing primary upset back in June....

Latino Millennials love Bernie, just like most other Democratic Millennials from many other backgrounds. Smiley
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 06:22:12 PM »

I like it.
Though I have never heard of them.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 06:32:48 PM »

Last poll had Clinton only up 5, so she doubled her lead
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