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Author Topic: TX-University of Houston: Trump +3  (Read 2298 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 18, 2016, 12:30:33 pm »

http://www.chron.com/news/politics/texas/article/New-poll-shows-Trump-beating-Clinton-by-3-percent-9980688.php

Trump - 41%
Clinton - 38%
Johnson - 4%
Stein - 1%
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Bernie 2020
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 12:32:30 pm »

lol, like I said @ Surveymonkey, TX didn't flip in 1996, it won't flip now. #RedFreiwall!
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2016, 12:32:30 pm »

Trump 41%
Clinton 38%
Johnson 4%
Stein 1%

https://ssl.uh.edu/class/hobby/texas2016/
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2016, 12:33:17 pm »

Even if it doesn't flip. It's astounding that Trump is barely scraping by in such a deep red state which Romney won by 16 points
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2016, 12:33:38 pm »

At this same point in time in 2012, Romney was up 17 points here. Just let that sink in.
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Bernie 2020
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2016, 12:34:38 pm »

I also think they are somewhat underestimating Johnson support here FWIW
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2016, 12:34:49 pm »

It'll take unheard of Latino and white college turnout to even have a shot at this.

That said, Travis County broke 90% voter registration this year...
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Devils30
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2016, 12:35:11 pm »

This should not flip or come close but surprising how close it is. Bad omen for states like GA and maybe SC for Trump.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2016, 12:35:21 pm »

I highly doubt Texas will flip, but as I've said, if it does end up this close, Arizona probably does flip.
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Arch
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2016, 12:35:45 pm »

This should not flip or come close but surprising how close it is. Bad omen for states like GA and maybe SC for Trump.

Yep, more than Texas, this indicates that GA and AZ are heading to HRC this year.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2016, 12:35:57 pm »

These polls are going to drag Texas into Lean R/Toss up territory.
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2016, 12:39:51 pm »

Never thought I'd see Ohio vote to the right of Texas.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2016, 12:40:43 pm »

Never thought I'd see Ohio vote to the right of Texas.
I don't think you are going to.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2016, 12:50:47 pm »

TX always had potential to be within +5. They have many Hispanics registered as Democrats but don't vote. What this tells me is that Hispanics in TX are more motivated to vote this year.
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darthpi
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2016, 12:51:03 pm »

That's a lot of undecideds for mid-October.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2016, 12:51:55 pm »

Lmao, Texas is really going to be in single digits this year.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2016, 12:57:33 pm »

Too many undecideds for this late and I think everybody knows how they will break.
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riceowl
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2016, 12:59:58 pm »

I also think they are somewhat underestimating Johnson support here FWIW

TWSS?
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2016, 01:06:54 pm »

just dropping this here...from known kitten-strangler, fraud and JFK-killing-conspirator Nate Silver:

Clinton chances in Texas: 17%
Trump chances in Pennsylvania: 10%
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/788438311908016129
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riceowl
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2016, 01:07:55 pm »

Yeah, I was just noticing that. She seems far more likely at this point than in early August to carry Texas. Why are her odds worse? Lack of time left in the model?
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wifikitten
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2016, 01:36:36 pm »

Hillary won't crack 45%. Fools gold.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2016, 01:38:47 pm »

Img
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Maxwell
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2016, 01:40:51 pm »

Img


the state of the trump campaign
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
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« Reply #23 on: October 18, 2016, 01:44:19 pm »

lol, like I said @ Surveymonkey, TX didn't flip in 1996, it won't flip now. #RedFreiwall!

Did you miss 20 years of immigration and demographic change?
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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #24 on: October 18, 2016, 02:07:23 pm »

I think that it has the potential of being more than just close-ish for Clinton.
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