PPRI/Atlantic National: Clinton +15
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  PPRI/Atlantic National: Clinton +15
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Author Topic: PPRI/Atlantic National: Clinton +15  (Read 1660 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: October 19, 2016, 06:28:18 AM »



http://www.prri.org/research/prri-brookings-october-19-2016-presidential-election-horserace-clinton-trump/
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 06:30:06 AM »

DAYUM!
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 06:30:16 AM »

An outlier by 4-5 points, but holy mother of God.

They had the race tied at 43 before the first debate so this is a monstrous swing
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 06:32:22 AM »

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mark_twain
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 06:34:23 AM »

Excellent!
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 06:40:24 AM »

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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 07:03:21 AM »

Changing my signature to Rand Paul 2020 soon Purple heart
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 07:04:35 AM »

+15 sounds like an outlier poll. I think somewhere in the range of 6-10 is more plausible.

Unless of course multiple polls start showing a similar margin
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 07:15:06 AM »

Democrats: 95% support Clinton
Republicans: 87% support Trump
Independents: Clinton +16 (!), leads 46%-30%. 17% voting 3rd party

Females: Clinton +26, leads 57%-31%
Males: Clinton +4 (!), leads 44%-40%

Nonwhites: Clinton +59, leads 76%-17%
Whites: Trump +3 (!), leads 43%-40%
Non-College Whites: Trump +20, leads 50%-30%
College Whites: Clinton +19 (!), leads 53%-34%

White Evangelical Protestants: Trump +54, leads 69%-15%
White Mainline Protestants: Trump +12, leads 49%-37%
White Catholics: Tied at 44%
Catholics overall: Clinton +24, leads 57%-33%
Religiously unaffiliated: Clinton +52, leads 69%-17%

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats +12, lead Republicans 52%-40%.
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Doimper
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 07:26:21 AM »

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats +12, lead Republicans 52%-40%.


The dream lives on
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 07:51:34 AM »

So many double digits.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 08:02:43 AM »

+15 sounds like an outlier poll. I think somewhere in the range of 6-10 is more plausible.

Unless of course multiple polls start showing a similar margin

I had been thinking the margin was 7-8, but this latest batch of polls makes me think it's closer to 9-10.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 08:34:05 AM »

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RJEvans
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 08:43:11 AM »

Definitely an outlier, but I wish I could see this type of result in my lifetime. Hopefully it's this year.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2016, 08:53:45 AM »

If this is true, then

Hillary Clinton 2016 = Ronald Reagan 1980

Gary Johnson 2016 - John Anderson? Not too far off.

Of course any comparison between Donald Trump and Jimmy Carter neglects the fundamental honesty and integrity of Carter.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2016, 09:01:43 AM »

Definitely an outlier, but only because of Trump's number, Clinton's 51% is in line with what other polls say her number is (around 50%).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2016, 09:05:02 AM »

If this is true, then

Hillary Clinton 2016 = Ronald Reagan 1980

Gary Johnson 2016 - John Anderson? Not too far off.

Of course any comparison between Donald Trump and Jimmy Carter neglects the fundamental honesty and integrity of Carter.

The final percentages may be similar (Anderson ended up with 7%, and Johnson may be close to that although I still don't believe he'll reach 5%), but the dynamics of the race were quite different.  1980 was very much a three-way race, and Anderson was in the public consciousness as a candidate with at least some plausibility to win, although certainly not as much as Reagan or Carter.  He was in the 20's in some polls in August/September before fading at the end.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2016, 09:44:32 AM »

lol the hacks at RCP aren't adding this to their average
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2016, 09:50:54 AM »

lol the hacks at RCP aren't adding this to their average

LMAO!  It's not even partisan!  I'm sure the LA Times/Grumpy Black Teenager Tracker gets a cozy spot. 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2016, 09:57:47 AM »

lol the hacks at RCP aren't adding this to their average

LMAO!  It's not even partisan!  I'm sure the LA Times/Grumpy Black Teenager Tracker gets a cozy spot. 
Yes, the new LA Times poll is immediately added each morning rofl
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Virginiá
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2016, 10:23:35 AM »

Yes, the new LA Times poll is immediately added each morning rofl

As far as I can tell, HuffPollster didn't add this one either (same with last one), but they did add the generic ballot numbers. I don't get why neither added the presidential numbers.

And on RCP, the last PRRI poll number was switched from +11 to now +6. What changed?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2016, 10:26:05 AM »

At this point, LAT is more of an outlier than this poll is.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2016, 10:50:45 AM »

Yes, the new LA Times poll is immediately added each morning rofl

As far as I can tell, HuffPollster didn't add this one either (same with last one), but they did add the generic ballot numbers. I don't get why neither added the presidential numbers.


They add them at their three-way model.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2016, 10:52:33 AM »

We haven't seen The Vorlon around this board much recently, have we?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2016, 11:01:13 AM »

Now she is become Death, destroyer of worlds.
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