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Author Topic: WI-Monmouth: Clinton +7  (Read 1106 times)
dspNY
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« on: October 19, 2016, 12:01:42 pm »

Clinton 47
Trump 40
Johnson 6
Stein 1

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_WI_101916/

Feingold 52, Johnson 44 for Senate
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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 12:03:53 pm »

WI appears to be the likeliest tipping point over PA at this time
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 12:57:36 pm »

WI appears to be the likeliest tipping point over PA at this time

Other than those weird Reuters State of the Nation polls, Clinton has led every single poll taken out of Wisconsin. Real Clear Politics has Clinton up by at worst 3 points in every Wisconsin poll they have included in their average. There's a reason why neither Clinton nor Trump have gone on the air there. Trump is trying to settle a score with Paul Ryan more than anything during his Wisconsin trips
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 01:02:46 pm »

Considering how polarized WI is, it's not surprising that Hillary's not up by double digits. She's still clearly safe here, though.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 01:15:37 pm »

There is definitely the Iowa effect in rural Wisconsin. I suspect Ron kind will be in deep trouble very soon.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 01:16:19 pm »

There is definitely the Iowa effect in rural Wisconsin. I suspect Ron kind will be in deep trouble very soon.

He should just bite the bullet and run for Gov before it gets worse
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Arch
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 01:18:56 pm »

There is definitely the Iowa effect in rural Wisconsin. I suspect Ron kind will be in deep trouble very soon.

He's entrenched.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 01:22:29 pm »

There is definitely the Iowa effect in rural Wisconsin. I suspect Ron kind will be in deep trouble very soon.

The part of the state Trump is overperfoming is in the Northest. Clinton has been regularly ahead in the north+west. That's at least what it shows in the Marquette polls.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 01:36:52 pm »

For Wisconsin, this is a good number.
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Lolasknives
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 01:45:13 pm »

Beautiful. There is no way Drumpf comes within eight points of winning this state. If it was even close, I'd call the FBI to  investigate why aliens are replacing real Wisconsinites with lobotomized deplorables.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 02:11:32 pm »

There is definitely the Iowa effect in rural Wisconsin. I suspect Ron kind will be in deep trouble very soon.
What utter nonsense.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 02:26:18 pm »

This looks about right.  I didn't understand why Iowa was swinging so hard towards Trump but Wisconsin was supposed to be this 15-pt blowout for Clinton.  I think it probably ends up right around 8-9 pts in Clinton's favor, since the western half of the state should be strong for Trump compared to Obama but Trump will endure a lot of erosion in the Milwaukee suburbs.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 02:41:53 pm »

This looks about right.  I didn't understand why Iowa was swinging so hard towards Trump but Wisconsin was supposed to be this 15-pt blowout for Clinton.  I think it probably ends up right around 8-9 pts in Clinton's favor, since the western half of the state should be strong for Trump compared to Obama but Trump will endure a lot of erosion in the Milwaukee suburbs.

Marquette's polling has suggested that the Northeast part of the state (Green Bay and Appleton) has been Trump's best region.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 02:47:50 pm »

This looks about right.  I didn't understand why Iowa was swinging so hard towards Trump but Wisconsin was supposed to be this 15-pt blowout for Clinton.  I think it probably ends up right around 8-9 pts in Clinton's favor, since the western half of the state should be strong for Trump compared to Obama but Trump will endure a lot of erosion in the Milwaukee suburbs.

Marquette's polling has suggested that the Northeast part of the state (Green Bay and Appleton) has been Trump's best region.

Awwww word?  I can't claim to know a whole ton about Wisconsin.  Where are the white dumbs?  Green Bay and Appleton?  Well, wherever they reside.  They go Trumpy-wise.  The Southeast goes towards Clinton.  All in all, one region winds up cancelling out another, play with the number for turnout, yadda yadda yadda....

Clinton 52
Trump 44

or thereabouts.   
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2016, 05:39:31 pm »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Monmouth University on 2016-10-18

Summary: D: 47%, R: 40%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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