Arizona Republic: Clinton up 4 points in AZ

[eric82oslo]

GOP
Clinton 15
Trump 60

That's what happens when you repeatedly insult both of their Republican senators and one of those, Jeff Flank is amongst the three Republican senators from any state being the most critical of Trump, alongside Lindsey Graham and Ben Sasse.

[Alcon]

There is either a huge typo with this poll or it's complete garbage. There's no way from party reg in Arizona that you could end up with a sample that has 168 Republicans 413 Democrats and 132 Independents. That in no way, shape or form represents the Arizona electorate.

You're also not going to get a self-identified in AZ that is going to be 174 R, 316 D and 218 I. The math just doesn't add up here where it would ever be 2-to-1. I think most of the polls that I have seen are R+, not D+ in the state.

I am not sure what they did on a reweigh (it's not disclosed as far as I can see), but I don't know how you conduct a poll and statistically get numbers, which are that far off.

http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/10/19/arizona-republic-morrison-cronkite-news-poll/92390100/

Likely a typo.

Not sure about that.  Their Maricopa County subsample was also super Democratic.  It's completely weird that this poll and the Highground poll are almost in agreement over topline, but the Highground poll had a 42-35 GOP sample.