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  IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2  (Read 10825 times)
SunSt0rm
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« Reply #125 on: November 07, 2016, 07:24:07 am »

((Harry Enten))) ‏@ForecasterEnten  8m8 minutes ago
IBD/TIPP is weird. They have Trump at 43% in the four-way, but 42% in the two-way? He loses support with fewer candidates asked? Weird.

I am not the only one, who find this very odd
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #126 on: November 07, 2016, 07:25:28 am »

At least people can shut up about this junk being the most accurate pollster in the future.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #127 on: November 08, 2016, 02:41:09 am »

Will the update today? Wounder if the find out that the race is at Clinton +4 Roll Eyes
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #128 on: November 08, 2016, 04:19:27 am »

Final Election Day Update:

42.7 Trump
41.2 Clinton
  7.1 Johnson
  1.9 Stein
  2.0 Others
  5.0 Undecided

They then allocate the 5% undecided to make a final prediction:

45.0 Trump
43.4 Clinton
  7.6 Johnson
  2.0 Stein
  2.0 Others

http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #129 on: November 08, 2016, 04:21:47 am »
« Edited: November 08, 2016, 04:26:23 am by Erich Maria Remarque »

They will very likely be 3-6% points off, but I have to give them the credit that they have balls to go with this Smiley

4-way: ('Not Sure' Allocated)
Trump   45.0%
Clinton  43.4%
Johnson  7.6%
Stein      2.0%
Other      2.0%

2-way:
Clinton 43.3%   
Trump  42.3%   
Other     5.3%
Not sure 9.0%


4-way: ('With Not Sure')
Clinton 41.2%   
Trump 42.7%   
Johnson 7.1%    (+2)!
Steing 1.9%   
Other 2.0%   
Unsure 5.0%


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J. J.
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« Reply #130 on: November 08, 2016, 05:46:15 pm »

I think they had Hillary up yesterday?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #131 on: November 09, 2016, 02:28:50 am »

Freedom poll and once again, probably closest to the most accurate this cycle.
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Lok
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« Reply #132 on: November 09, 2016, 02:30:16 am »

HOW THE ACTUAL FK WAS A TRACKER THE MOST ACCURATE POLL?!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #133 on: November 09, 2016, 02:36:15 am »

They will very likely be 3-6% points off, but I have to give them the credit that they have balls to go with this Smiley

Wow! Balls of steel!
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jfern
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« Reply #134 on: November 09, 2016, 05:25:45 am »

Technically they were too pro Trump.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #135 on: November 09, 2016, 05:33:58 am »

Inside MOE.  Almost all other showed an embarrassing herding.
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #136 on: November 09, 2016, 05:36:35 am »

Clinton probably will win the popular vote
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Abraham Washington
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« Reply #137 on: November 09, 2016, 05:36:39 am »

Congrats IBD.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #138 on: November 09, 2016, 08:30:47 pm »

as wrong as anyone else.....only the other direction.
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jaichind
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« Reply #139 on: November 09, 2016, 08:36:28 pm »

as wrong as anyone else.....only the other direction.

Yeah.  Looks like the closest  will be Rasmussen (Clinton +2) or McClatchy/Marist (Clinton +1). 
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #140 on: November 09, 2016, 09:16:00 pm »

as wrong as anyone else.....only the other direction.

Nope. The difference is that they didn't herd. That had race ~Tie during final week, and this was pretty close. Clearly, many pollster firm, thought that Clinton will surge (after 2nd letter???) and added a few points/herded to C+4-5. It is almost impossible that all polls had so small spread in their results.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #141 on: November 09, 2016, 11:40:10 pm »

HOW THE ACTUAL FK WAS A TRACKER THE MOST ACCURATE POLL?!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #142 on: November 10, 2016, 12:25:57 am »

Uh... Clinton is going to win the popular vote by 1-2%. This poll was one of the worst.
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #143 on: November 10, 2016, 05:44:10 am »

State level polls were wrong , national polls were 1-2% off just like in 2012 but in the other way
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