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  IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2  (Read 10833 times)
ApatheticAustrian
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« on: October 21, 2016, 10:57:35 am »

do all trackers include such strange samples?

still trump +1 but....

http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/

clinton leading in the northeast by 9, midwest by 1, west by 6...trails south by 11 and this results into a trump lead?

other nuggets:

catholics are more anti-clinton than evangelicals, old people like clinton more those between 45 and 64, hispanics are closer than the last 2 elections.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2016, 11:03:58 am »

wasn't this was the most accurate poll in 2012? but who knows, polls are unreliable.

according to the their homepage it was the most accurate for the last 3 elections but they have never been so different from the general average.

let's wait for the new weekend polls.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2016, 11:27:42 am »

if there is a 2-3 point bias this race is essentially tied.
  3 point bias + MOE, at least. ^^
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2016, 11:32:44 am »

clinton is underperforming in early voting especially in nc not hitting 2012 #'s where she needs to do well or trump will win esp in a close race.

she is not atm, there are less available early voting stations.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2016, 11:34:25 am »

i believe that the race is closer than clinton +7 but tied or trump lead would be a difference from 7 to 10 points....not likely.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2016, 11:39:18 am »

slightly up? i mean electproject is saying something different. Also, 6% less blacks voting from 2012 and if there r more white they r voting for trump... 25% of whites in NC r voting for clinton.

ALL are down from 2012 cause of a lack of voting stations but republicans are significant weaker than 2012 atm.

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/789789737078972416
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2016, 12:11:29 pm »

comparison to 2012 how how much was the lead democrats had going into election day

170.000 votes.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2016, 12:18:34 pm »

Democrats up 60k at the moment correct? Do they usually increase over time or do republicans close the gap near election day? (sorry for al these questions) The stats r so interesting to me.

dem soar even more close to election day, only to get crushed sometimes at the actual day.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2016, 12:44:35 pm »

ofc it's possible, especially in the rust belt.

but at the same time, many registered republican professionals are going to vote for hillary.

outside of OH/IA i wouldn't bet on it right now.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2016, 05:12:10 am »
« Edited: October 27, 2016, 05:38:22 am by ApatheticAustrian »

since decimals are from hell, it will be reported as clinton +2.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2016, 08:30:47 pm »

as wrong as anyone else.....only the other direction.
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