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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  AZ-Data Orbital: Tied
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Author Topic: AZ-Data Orbital: Tied  (Read 747 times)
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« on: October 20, 2016, 03:05:38 pm »

550 LVs from Oct 17-18 (compared to Oct 11-12 poll):

Clinton 41 (-2)
Trump 41 (-1)
Johnson 5 (nc)
Stein 2 (-)


https://gallery.mailchimp.com/5a280d25318f2afe3f311adb6/files/AZ_Statewide_LivePoll_Questionnaire_10_18.pdf
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2016, 03:07:31 pm »

She's going to gain a solid lead here after the debate effects kick in.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2016, 03:14:55 pm »

I'll be happy if she can steal AZ.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2016, 03:32:28 pm »

I'll be happy if she can steal AZ.
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Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2016, 03:36:26 pm »

Data Orbital has always found very good numbers for Clinton in AZ.
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#WalkAwayFromDesantis
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2016, 06:07:55 pm »
« Edited: October 20, 2016, 06:09:39 pm by Zyzz »

If Hillary wins AZ plus the Obama 2012 states, you could drive from Seattle to Denver without leaving any blue states. If Nebraska and Arizona voted Democratic, then you could drive from Seattle to NYC without leaving any blue states.
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Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2016, 06:13:18 pm »

If Hillary wins AZ plus the Obama 2012 states, you could drive from Seattle to Denver without leaving any blue states. If Nebraska and Arizona voted Democratic, then you could drive from Seattle to NYC without leaving any blue states.

It would take an absurdly large landslide to flip Nebraska - or any states that would make the western/eastern Democratic states contiguous, actually.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2016, 06:30:32 pm »

If Hillary wins AZ plus the Obama 2012 states, you could drive from Seattle to Denver without leaving any blue states. If Nebraska and Arizona voted Democratic, then you could drive from Seattle to NYC without leaving any blue states.

It would take an absurdly large landslide to flip Nebraska - or any states that would make the western/eastern Democratic states contiguous, actually.

The Kansas-Missouri combo would work and is probably more likely than Nebraska (although still very unlikely).
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