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Author Topic: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +1 (over McMullin)  (Read 1975 times)
Speed of Sound
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« on: October 20, 2016, 07:40:25 pm »

818 LVs surveyed from Oct 12-18:

Trump 30 (-4)
McMullin 29 (+17)
Clinton 25 (0)
Johnson 5 (-8)

Hat-tip to Sorenroy for the change info.

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/11183-trump-leads-mcmullin-by-one-point-among-likely-utah-voters
« Last Edit: October 20, 2016, 08:13:16 pm by Speed of Sound »Logged
Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2016, 07:41:41 pm »

The Rise of the Once and Future McMuffin!
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2016, 07:43:22 pm »

GOP voters split 48/37 Trump v McMullin. McMullin leads "very active" LDS members 43/31. Trump leads among "somewhat active" members 37/22. The "very conservative" paradoxically favor Trump 51/39.
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2016, 07:44:04 pm »

McMullin-mentum!
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2016, 07:49:48 pm »

if the democrats play this intelligent.....
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2016, 07:50:23 pm »

Muffin is rising fast......wow
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2016, 07:50:48 pm »

if the democrats play this intelligent.....

Strategically vote for McMullin or stick with Clinton and try to win a three-way race in the low 30s?
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calvinhobbesliker
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2016, 07:51:08 pm »

Just one high profile endorsement from a Utah official and this state is McMullin's.

Why hasn't Romney endorsed yet? That would instantly give McMullin Utah and maybe Idaho.
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Snek!
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2016, 07:55:30 pm »

Mmmmmm McMuffin...
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2016, 07:55:58 pm »

I actually bought two egg McMuffins this morning for the first time in over a year, both because I was on the road and hungry, and secondarily because reading all of the Utah polling threads over the past week or so, made me really want to eat one again, although I rarely consume junk food anymore.

Regardless, it some seem like McMullin is trending in UT over the past two weeks, and the Big Mo appears to be on his side to carry the state.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2016, 08:03:29 pm »

I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2016, 08:05:33 pm »

I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.

I think this looks great!

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Sorenroy
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2016, 08:11:17 pm »

Change from Last Month:
Trump 30 (-4)
McMullin 29 (+17)
Clinton 25 (0)
Johnson 5 (-8)
Other 7 (-2)
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2016, 08:18:17 pm »

This is amazing. McMuffin might actually win here.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2016, 08:26:22 pm »

I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.

I think this looks great!



Though this looks even BETTER! Smiley

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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2016, 08:29:43 pm »

I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.

I think this looks great!



Though this looks even BETTER! Smiley



Wouldn't you, Lief, prefer this map? I think it's a bit likelier than you gave, unfortunately.

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Castro
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2016, 08:50:45 pm »

I prefer this map:

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Fargobison
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2016, 08:56:04 pm »

Only a rigged CBS poll can show Donnie with a sizable lead here. Sad!

« Last Edit: October 20, 2016, 09:52:32 pm by Fargobison »Logged
Flake
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2016, 09:04:52 pm »

New Poll: Utah President by Dan Jones on 2016-10-18

Summary: D: 25%, R: 30%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ag
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« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2016, 09:16:16 pm »

I guess, it is time to acknowledge the obvious. Mormons are a lost tribe of Israel. They are Jewish. I do not know how they got to upstate New York, but that they are now in Utah is for all of us to see Smiley
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DavidB.
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« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2016, 09:23:17 pm »

Img
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ag
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« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2016, 09:24:43 pm »

Img


Interesting juxtaposition of our comments in thsi thread.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2016, 09:29:02 pm »

I actually don't want McMuffin to win Utah so the map doesn't look ugly.

I think this looks great!



That would be an awesome map !
Go McMullin.
8-)
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2016, 09:49:48 pm »

Averaging the last 3 polls done by different pollsters in the state (Emerson, DJ, Rassy):

McMullin: 29.6
Trump: 29
Clinton: 25.6
Johnson: 5
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #24 on: October 20, 2016, 09:59:30 pm »

I wonder what the GOTV efforts are for UT. It seems that all the major political figures in the state are now anti-Trump. Do they put their political machines behind McMullin? How much of a GOTV effort does the RNC have independent of them? Do they have resources to help Trump? Does he have anything. And do the Dems put any resources into the state for their GOTV?   

 
It seems to me that the Gov and Romney and other state leaders could just put their thumb on the scale and push it to McMullin to send a message to the GOP...Don't mess with Utah.
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