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  GA-Landmark: Trump +4
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Author Topic: GA-Landmark: Trump +4  (Read 2461 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: October 21, 2016, 10:49:29 am »
« edited: October 21, 2016, 10:51:45 am by HillOfANight »

http://landmarkcommunications.net/clinton-improves-slightly-after-final-debate-trump-47-clinton-43-johnson-5/
http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-of-Georgia-10.21.16-2.pdf

Trump 47 (48)
Clinton 43 (42)
Johnson 5 (4)

White
Trump 66
Clinton 25
Johnson 4

Black
Trump 12
Clinton 78
Johnson 5

GOP
Trump 82
Clinton 11
Johnson 3

Democrat
Trump 10
Clinton 83
Johnson 4

Independent
Trump 22
Clinton 57

Johnson 8
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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 10:51:14 am »

Georgia is one new Trump videotape away from falling into Clinton's column.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2016, 10:53:44 am »

Doesn't look like this one will be a VA 2008 redux.

He has a very tenuous lead here. The black crosstabs look wacky and he's not doing well enough with whites.
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OneJ
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2016, 10:57:49 am »

The margin is close, but there is absolutely no way Trump is getting 12% of "the blacks."
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Fargobison
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 10:58:46 am »

AZ is where it is at for HRC, she was wise to invest there.
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OneJ
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 11:03:18 am »

Yeah, I just don't think this one is going to happen for her anymore.  Looks like black turnout won't quite match 2012.



Don't give up hope. There is still a bit of time to go before we can say that officially say that states like OH, IA, and GA are gone completely.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 11:03:55 am »

Yeah, I just don't think this one is going to happen for her anymore.  Looks like black turnout won't quite match 2012.

Give it some time. The black vote has been ticking up per @ElectProject, and weekend voting starts tomorrow. Gwinnett and other counties greatly expand voting 10/29.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/21/politics/early-voting-hillary-clinton-battleground-states/index.html

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2016, 11:18:22 am »

New Poll: Georgia President by Landmark Communications on 2016-10-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Buckhead Kelly
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2016, 11:24:24 am »

I'll just post this again. Easiest scenario in which Hillary wins GA is looking realistic
                              Share   D     R     3rd
Non Hispanic Whites (59%) 27% 70% 3%
African Americas      (30%) 92% 7%   1%
Other Minorities       (11%) 54% 46%  0%

This gives Clinton a 1 point victory. Lets also remember that Indiana in 2008 was Republican on majority of predictions. Including 538.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2016, 11:30:35 am »

AZ is where it is at for HRC, she was wise to invest there.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 12:27:13 pm »

This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2016, 12:30:00 pm »

This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around.

Good catch. Hopefully it can get fixed up soon.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2016, 12:35:30 pm »

Doesn't look like this one will be a VA 2008 redux.

perhaps it's like Montana 2008 or North Carolina 2012.
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On Fleek
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2016, 12:48:55 pm »


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Dr. RI
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2016, 12:58:31 pm »

Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2016, 12:58:46 pm »

The database entry is wrong.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2016, 12:59:37 pm »

Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it.

I can't edit either (even though I can edit all other poll entries). It seems Dave has "special powers".
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2016, 01:00:24 pm »

Hey guys, has anyone happened to notice that the database entry is wr--

Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it.
This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around.

Tongue
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Lok
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2016, 03:31:04 pm »

People, stop being so pessimistic. This was a 1 day Robo poll, it's not exactly good. Just wait for a few days for the full effects of the debate to kick in.
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Chromium R Florida
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2016, 05:20:47 pm »

Way to get my hopes up. Cry
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