Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 15, 2019, 01:47:24 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4  (Read 1580 times)
BoAtlantis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 791


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 21, 2016, 01:42:30 pm »

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/10/21/poll-trump-leads-by-four-in-georgia/

Trump 50%
Clinton 46%
Johnson 3%
Undecided 1%
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 01:43:01 pm »

a tiny lead in deep red georgia? NOT GOOD!
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,943
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2016, 01:43:31 pm »

AZ was the right way to go. GA might surprise us on election day, but I'm not banking on it.
Logged

Sic semper tyrannis.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,925
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2016, 01:44:36 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,548
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 01:45:03 pm »

Trump has an average lead of 3.33% in the 3 polls today. Not awful with still two weeks left.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,548
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 01:46:08 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

10? Lol haha
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,474
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 01:46:29 pm »

The few crosstabs make no sense. 40% have voted early already??? In AJC's poll, only 3% have.

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/10/21/30594_GA_Poll_FINAL_Banners_Likely_Voters.pdf

Trump wins men by 14 points; Clinton wins women by 5 (McCain won men by 18, Obama won women by 8.
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,462
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2016, 01:49:36 pm »

Trump has an average lead of 3.33% in the 3 polls today. Not awful with still two weeks left.

Wow.
Arch might be right ..... "GA might surprise us on election day."
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,652
Austria


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2016, 01:49:40 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

it's absolutely the common wisdom that he is going to win but why should he over-perform the last republican candidates in a year like this?
Logged

GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,038


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2016, 02:00:51 pm »

a tiny lead in deep red georgia? NOT GOOD!

Georgia's not "deep" red anymore.  It's red trending toward purple.  Magenta perhaps? Smiley
Logged

Originally a Rockefeller Republican, then a long-time independent.  Converted to the Democrats in October 2018 out of revulsion at what the Republican party has become.
RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,520
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 4.52

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 02:01:33 pm »

New Poll: Georgia President by Opinion Savvy on 2016-10-20

Summary: D: 46%, R: 50%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,708
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2016, 02:05:49 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.
It must be very hard.
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,078


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2016, 02:11:09 pm »

My feeling is anything within MOE come election day is up for grabs for Clinton, based on GOTV and field operation. Now, she doesn't have much in place in GA - but with her Super PAC now airing ads, perhaps a surrogate visit or two, from Michelle or Barack may be helpful. In any event, a 2-4 point Trump lead in GA two weeks out is not ideal for his campaign. It suggests NC is gone and SC will probably be a 4-6 point race.
Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,356
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2016, 02:14:04 pm »

Surprised he's even leading in the state, given the demographic changes in GA and his weaknesses with suburban Whites.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
F_S_USATN
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 307


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2016, 02:18:30 pm »

I think this one and IA come down to the wire
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,652
Austria


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2016, 02:38:56 pm »

it is said the atlanta suburbs are stuck in the 80ies.
Logged

Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2016, 02:49:03 pm »

Georgia could still flip, but Arizona was clearly the better investment.
Logged

Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,619
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2016, 02:50:01 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

Yeah. According to this poll, Hillary is up 5% nationally.
Logged

HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,474
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2016, 02:54:00 pm »

it is said the atlanta suburbs are stuck in the 80ies.

Gwinnett/Cherokee's white vote probably won't change much, but I think you'll see a big Johnson number in Fulton (Alpharetta/Dunwoody/etc).
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,872
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2016, 03:04:23 pm »

I think the potential for Hillary to have a last minute surge in Iowa is way likelier than Georgia.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2016, 03:27:09 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

Logged

fuck nazis
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,596
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2016, 03:44:38 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

Yea yea we know... translates a Trump doing 5 pts better than Obama 2008 aka 3 pt race aka Trump can still yadda yadda while you sit there at your keyboard all like...

Logged



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,236
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.64, S: -2.65

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2016, 04:06:44 pm »

Is 27% normal for cell phone collection? Or is it usually higher?
Logged

A Liberal LGBT.

JOIN THE DISCORD!!!
https://discord.gg/7kKvzqT
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,474
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2016, 04:23:01 pm »

Its not really cell calls, but "mobile surveys"...
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,895
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 21, 2016, 05:43:29 pm »

I don't see Hillary winning here. GA is the kind of state where it's easy for Dems to come (somewhat) close, but much harder to actually win.
Logged


"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
"That's why... we seek the light."

Noir, episode 26
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines