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  GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4
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Author Topic: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4  (Read 2259 times)
BoAtlantis
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« on: October 21, 2016, 01:42:30 pm »

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/10/21/poll-trump-leads-by-four-in-georgia/

Trump 50%
Clinton 46%
Johnson 3%
Undecided 1%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 01:43:01 pm »

a tiny lead in deep red georgia? NOT GOOD!
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Arch
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2016, 01:43:31 pm »

AZ was the right way to go. GA might surprise us on election day, but I'm not banking on it.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2016, 01:44:36 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 01:45:03 pm »

Trump has an average lead of 3.33% in the 3 polls today. Not awful with still two weeks left.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 01:46:08 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

10? Lol haha
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 01:46:29 pm »

The few crosstabs make no sense. 40% have voted early already??? In AJC's poll, only 3% have.

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/10/21/30594_GA_Poll_FINAL_Banners_Likely_Voters.pdf

Trump wins men by 14 points; Clinton wins women by 5 (McCain won men by 18, Obama won women by 8.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2016, 01:49:36 pm »

Trump has an average lead of 3.33% in the 3 polls today. Not awful with still two weeks left.

Wow.
Arch might be right ..... "GA might surprise us on election day."
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2016, 01:49:40 pm »


it's absolutely the common wisdom that he is going to win but why should he over-perform the last republican candidates in a year like this?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2016, 02:00:51 pm »

a tiny lead in deep red georgia? NOT GOOD!

Georgia's not "deep" red anymore.  It's red trending toward purple.  Magenta perhaps? Smiley
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 02:01:33 pm »

New Poll: Georgia President by Opinion Savvy on 2016-10-20

Summary: D: 46%, R: 50%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Ebsy
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2016, 02:05:49 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.
It must be very hard.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2016, 02:11:09 pm »

My feeling is anything within MOE come election day is up for grabs for Clinton, based on GOTV and field operation. Now, she doesn't have much in place in GA - but with her Super PAC now airing ads, perhaps a surrogate visit or two, from Michelle or Barack may be helpful. In any event, a 2-4 point Trump lead in GA two weeks out is not ideal for his campaign. It suggests NC is gone and SC will probably be a 4-6 point race.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2016, 02:18:30 pm »

I think this one and IA come down to the wire
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2016, 02:38:56 pm »

it is said the atlanta suburbs are stuck in the 80ies.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2016, 02:49:03 pm »

Georgia could still flip, but Arizona was clearly the better investment.
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2016, 02:50:01 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

Yeah. According to this poll, Hillary is up 5% nationally.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2016, 02:54:00 pm »

it is said the atlanta suburbs are stuck in the 80ies.

Gwinnett/Cherokee's white vote probably won't change much, but I think you'll see a big Johnson number in Fulton (Alpharetta/Dunwoody/etc).
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Devils30
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2016, 03:04:23 pm »

I think the potential for Hillary to have a last minute surge in Iowa is way likelier than Georgia.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #19 on: October 21, 2016, 03:27:09 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

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Clamdick McClaw
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« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2016, 03:44:38 pm »

On election day, he'll win by 10.

GA was always a pipe-dream for the Hillary camp.

Yea yea we know... translates a Trump doing 5 pts better than Obama 2008 aka 3 pt race aka Trump can still yadda yadda while you sit there at your keyboard all like...

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Lok
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« Reply #21 on: October 21, 2016, 04:06:44 pm »

Is 27% normal for cell phone collection? Or is it usually higher?
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2016, 04:23:01 pm »

Its not really cell calls, but "mobile surveys"...
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Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
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« Reply #23 on: October 21, 2016, 05:43:29 pm »

I don't see Hillary winning here. GA is the kind of state where it's easy for Dems to come (somewhat) close, but much harder to actually win.
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