Rasmussen: Clinton +3 (PA), Clinton +5 (NC), Clinton +6 (FL), Trump +1 (OH)

[dspNY]

PA: Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 3
FL: Clinton 47, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 2
NC: Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 3* (Stein is not on the ballot in NC)
OH: Trump 43, Clinton 42, Johnson 6, Stein 3

Poll done for Auto Alliance/ESA, which I assume is a Republican-leaning group

http://www.allianceesapoll.com/new-poll-results.html

[dspNY]

There are scenarios for strong Clinton and strong Trump turnout in all four states.

FL, Strong Clinton: Clinton 48, Trump 40, Johnson 4, Stein 2
FL, Strong Trump: Clinton 45, Trump 43, Johnson 4, Stein 2

NC, Strong Clinton: Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3*
NC, Strong Trump: Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 6, Stein 3*

OH, Strong Clinton: Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 3
OH, Strong Trump: Trump 46, Clinton 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2

PA, Strong Clinton: Clinton 45, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3
PA, Strong Trump: Clinton 43, Trump 42, Johnson 6, Stein 3

[dspNY]

Senate polls to indicate effects on downticket:

FL: Rubio 47, Murphy 39
NC: Burr 46, Ross 45
OH: Portman 49, Strickland 38
PA: McGinty 44, Toomey 41

[dspNY]

LOL, even the strong R turnout option for PA doesn't have Trump ahead!

They are considering a strong R turnout, but Trump's support comes from both Pubs and Dems.

Practically zero polling shows Trump gaining anything more than 6-7% of Dems. If anything, Clinton is winning crossover R's at a far higher rate