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  ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread  (Read 24098 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« on: October 23, 2016, 11:12:24 am »

Why are people (liberals) believing this poll when they don't knowledge any of the other trackers? Calling it a disaster for republicans but ignore the other tracking polls. Republicans are doing fine, if we lose we won't let hillary pass anything Smiley

Because ABC/Washington Post is a high quality poll, and the other trackers are not.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2016, 01:05:32 am »

So many things...

No evidence that Trump is doing better than Romney in New York.

Trump is not close in Pennsylvania and is likely losing by nearly double digits. Same with Michigan.

Losing 10% in Texas is going to hurt your national popular vote. So is getting blown out in California by a historic margin, as seems to be the case.

Trump is doing worse than Romney in a number of mid-sized states (Maryland, Georgia, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, Arizona...) by about 5 points.  Romney lost in 2012 by 4 points. 4+5 is very close to 12, especially with margin of error.

McMullin could take an additional 300 to 400k votes from Trump in Utah and Idaho, compared to Romney.

All this adds up.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 08:25:08 pm »

Wait so this isn't a tracking poll??
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2016, 08:25:43 pm »

Wait so this isn't a tracking poll??
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 11:37:59 am »
« Edited: October 25, 2016, 02:15:55 pm by Lief 🐋 »

Tracking polls are fine, it's just silly to pay attention to daily fluctuations. I think the way SurveyMonkey does it, releasing a result once a week, is better.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 08:52:19 am »

SINCE THE EARLY DAYS OF TRACKING!

CLINTON +12

BEAUTIFUL! Cry

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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2016, 05:47:11 pm »

Wait when did they call the new people for today's poll Huh
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 11:08:48 pm »

BEAUTIFUL
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Posts: 40,559
Dominica


« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 11:44:06 pm »

The Friday write-up said that Monday was one of her best nights, so the fact that she went up today despite Monday dropping off is TREMENDOUS news!
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