When was the last time Trump led a real national poll?
Back in Mid Sept a week before the first debate Bloomberg had him +2. That seems like a long time ago.
He leads all this time the LA Times poll and just a few days ago he was leading the IBD/TIPP poll. And of course he led many times at Rasmussen.
Yes, but many on this site claim that LA Times and Rasmussen are junk and not credible so I tried to find one that people on both sides of the partisan divide would say is a credible pollster regardless of what I might think.
Rasmussen was very very good in 2004 et 2008 but bad in 2000 et 2012.
You know, even pollsters having good reputation (mason-dixon, sellzer,...) can sometimes be completely off (mason dixon in florida 2012, sellzer in gop caucus Iowa 2016,...)
So there are no polls that you can trust 100 %.
This election is probably the most difficult election to poll due to Trump and (maybe) some hidden Trump voters.
