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November 18, 2019, 10:53:33 am
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  ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread  (Read 23838 times)
Umengus
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« on: November 01, 2016, 07:16:29 am »

"The latest results, while steady for seven nights, reflect a sharp turnaround from a large Clinton lead in the first four nights of tracking, which were a particularly difficult news cycle for Trump. "
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Umengus
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 07:22:55 am »

When was the last time Trump led a real national poll?

Back in Mid Sept a week before the first debate Bloomberg had him +2.  That seems like a long time ago.

He leads all this time the LA Times poll and just a few days ago he was leading the IBD/TIPP poll. And of course he led many times at Rasmussen.

Yes, but many on this site claim that LA Times and Rasmussen are junk and not credible so I tried to find one that people on both sides of the partisan divide would say is a credible pollster regardless of what I might think.

Rasmussen was very very good in 2004 et 2008 but bad in 2000 et 2012.

You know, even pollsters having good reputation (mason-dixon, sellzer,...) can sometimes  be completely off (mason dixon in florida 2012, sellzer in gop caucus Iowa 2016,...)

So there are no polls that you can trust 100 %.

This election is probably the most difficult election to poll due to Trump and (maybe) some hidden Trump voters.
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