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  ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo Tracking poll megathread  (Read 23809 times)
JerryArkansas
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« on: October 23, 2016, 08:08:08 am »

I don't think she is up by this much, but her hitting 50 in the four way is devastating for Trump. 
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2016, 01:15:07 pm »

How about we all realize the poll was an outlier and now has corrected than make other assumptions.  That may be better for you all.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2016, 10:29:16 am »

Its the likely voter screen. Apparently the screen for voter intention is causing the shifts.

https://twitter.com/nickgourevitch/status/792332697708421120

So Clinton always been just up 2% or probably less? Roll Eyes
No, but it shows that it really doesn't know what the number is.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2016, 10:32:21 am »

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.
Agreed.
Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2016, 10:37:53 am »

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.
Agreed.
Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Just don't like hypocrisy.
I see none, just a sad troll who wants to get noticed by people.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2016, 10:42:37 am »

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.
Agreed.
Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Just don't like hypocrisy.
I see none, just a sad troll who wants to get noticed by people.

I see no racism from police against Blacks, just a sad trolls protesting to get interviewed by CNN instead of working hard.

It is ok, when we do it!
Yep, a troll.  Go off and troll someplace else.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2016, 11:17:58 am »

It is hilarious that Trumpers Red hacks I see on twitter are now ignoring this so called most accurate poll ever and are pumping up the ABC IBD/Tipp poll now, which a week ago was a complete joke to them.
Agreed.
Why such trolling on your part.  Noting better to do?

Nate is apparantly is a sad troll as well Cheesy
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/792396374042087424




EDIT: and one more https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/792398796583997441
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The same Nate Silver who didn't trust his data in the primaries, and now is over-correcting for the general?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2016, 11:26:26 am »

The same Nate Silver who didn't trust his data in the primaries, and now is over-correcting for the general?
Before the primaries. He gave up directly after Iowa/NH more or less. But it was 16 dudes, and polls are generally pretty unstable there.
But he didn't give up, he kept trying to say he was right, until he made a fool of himself and his site, now he is trying to over-correct the record.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 06:16:43 am »

So with two days of the FBI stuff in no change.  Still think the poll is sh**t but not bad.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2016, 06:57:56 am »

Three days ago they had Clinton +4, it was the last fully pre-emails gate,
Two days ago they had Clinton +2, Democrats +8
Yesterday Clinton was +1, Democrats +9
Today Clinton stays at +1, Democrats +10!

Smiley


Love the poll unskewers that come out close to election day.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2016, 07:05:25 am »

Three days ago they had Clinton +4, it was the last fully pre-emails gate,
Two days ago they had Clinton +2, Democrats +8
Yesterday Clinton was +1, Democrats +9
Today Clinton stays at +1, Democrats +10!

Smiley


Love the poll unskewers that come out close to election day.

I'm having such warm fuzzies from four years ago.
Again, why is ABC reweighing for Party ID? All I have been told here is that that is not the way reputable pollsters do things.
The poll is sh**t, but you remember when you did this four years ago, it didn't turn out so well, and you stopped posting for four years.
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