CBS/YouGov: Clinton +3 (FL), Trump +3 (TX)

[StatesPoll]

No way those States are only 6 points from each other.

#UnskewThePoll

FL: CBS/YouGov(10/21-10/22)
Adjusted: TRUMP 46.9% | Hillary 42.4% | Johnson 3.7% | Stein 1.8%

https://www.scribd.com/document/328596671/CBS-News-Battleground-Tracker-Florida-Oct-23-2016#from_embed

1. Adjust the Poll as realistic Demographics

(White evans 24% | Others 76%)

1) TRUMP: White-Evans(24%)x75% + Others(76%)x38% = 46.88%
2) Hillary: White-Evans(24%)x12% + Others(76%)x52% = 42.4%
3) Johnson: White-Evans(24%)x6% + Others(76%)x3% = 3.72%
4) Stein: White-Evans(24%)x1% + Others(76%)x2% = 1.78%


2. This poll undersampled White Evangelicals too much.

1) 2012 Exit Poll: 24%

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/FL/president/

2) CBS/YouGov(10/20-10/21): 156 LV / 1042 LV = 14.97%