CBS/YouGov: Clinton +3 (FL), Trump +3 (TX)

[Maxwell]

Clinton +3% in FL may be accurate, but there is ZERO CHANCE she is within 3% in TX.
North and central TX will vote the same as in 2012.
The state Romney carried by 1.26 mil. votes and 15.8%.

Before this year, Texas had historically low voter turnout. This year, Democrats have been markedly improving voter registration of hispanic voters, and Houston is showing stronger early vote turnout so far. I don't think Trump will lose Texas but I wouldn't count out a very close showing.