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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  FL-CBS/YouGov:D: Clinton 63% Sanders 33%;R: Trump 35% Rubio 25% Cruz 18% Bush 9%
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Author Topic: FL-CBS/YouGov:D: Clinton 63% Sanders 33%;R: Trump 35% Rubio 25% Cruz 18% Bush 9%  (Read 2166 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 23, 2016, 12:35:05 pm »

CBS/YouGov poll of Florida, conducted Oct. 20-21:

link

If you could go back in time and vote in the presidential primary this past spring, how would you vote?
(They ask all voters, but I only list the Dem. numbers for Dem. candidates and GOP numbers for GOP candidates.)

Dems

Clinton 63%
Sanders 33%
someone else 4%

GOP

Trump 35%
Rubio 25%
Cruz 18%
Bush 9%
Kasich 7%
someone else 6%
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2016, 12:47:36 pm »

why is this still a thing omfg
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2016, 12:49:27 pm »

Interesting numbers. Hard to spin that GOP number super well for the ol' Trumpster.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2016, 12:55:00 pm »

#Hillaryunder70
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2016, 12:58:26 pm »

#Hillaryunder70

Yeah, I really don't think she's going to get much more than ~55% of the Democratic primary vote nationally.  That's about where she's at so far, and we only have 0% of the primary vote left to count, so she can't actually move up very much if she has to rely on the 0 remaining primary states.
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2016, 01:02:19 pm »

"Hahaha stupid Sanders supporters what idiots oh but also please for the love of God vote Hillary thx!!!"

Clinton diehards love their tiny-tent Democratic party.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2016, 01:13:22 pm »

"Hahaha stupid Sanders supporters what idiots oh but also please for the love of God vote Hillary thx!!!"

Clinton diehards love their tiny-tent Democratic party.
Let me be honest, I don't see how a socialist could stomach voting for anyone who supports any form of capitalism.
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2016, 01:15:47 pm »

"Hahaha stupid Sanders supporters what idiots oh but also please for the love of God vote Hillary thx!!!"

Clinton diehards love their tiny-tent Democratic party.
Let me be honest, I don't see how a socialist could stomach voting for anyone who supports any form of capitalism.

I pretty rarely vote for Democrats anymore personally, usually only when it's strategically necessary. But let's not pretend that even a plurality of Sanders' supporters are socialists. At best (and I think this isn't true either) a bunch are social dems. They just happen to not be Wall street loving warhawks that trust in pols that only take up human rights issues like gay marriage years after the majority has.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2016, 01:39:31 pm »

Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is still losing to Trump by 10? lol
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2016, 01:50:01 pm »

#Hillaryunder70

Yeah, I really don't think she's going to get much more than ~55% of the Democratic primary vote nationally.  That's about where she's at so far, and we only have 0% of the primary vote left to count, so she can't actually move up very much if she has to rely on the 0 remaining primary states.

55% sounds rather unimpressive. Is it too late to #DraftWarren? Or what about the mystical electoral overlords magically replacing her with Biden?  Is that still an option? Oh well, regardless we all know she'll be indicted anyway.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2016, 02:18:33 pm »

So its almost exactly like the results. The people of Florida see how this election has turned out and they're like "yeah, we don't regret it".
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2016, 02:18:52 pm »

that is substantially lower than Trump's actual win over Rubio - which is very troubling for him.

also lol Jeb Bush
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2016, 02:19:30 pm »

So its almost exactly like the results. The people of Florida see how this election has turned out and they're like "yeah, we don't regret it".
Since when has Florida cared when it ruins an election?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2016, 02:29:17 pm »

So its almost exactly like the results. The people of Florida see how this election has turned out and they're like "yeah, we don't regret it".

Trump beat Rubio by 19 points, but this poll has him winning by 10.  Usually, people are more likely to retroactively say they back the winner than the other way around, so this result isn't great from a Trumpian perspective, though he already has the nomination, so it's irrelevant anyway.

Of course, the complicating factor is that Florida is Rubio's home state, and he's currently running a statewide campaign there.  Would be interesting to see this poll question in other states, but it's not really worth the pollsters' time to bother with questions like this.

But the idea that some folks seem to have that the GOP is overwhelmingly a Trump-ist party now, and they're inevitably going to nominate either Trump himself or a Trump-like figure in 2020 seems to be misguided.  Maybe that'll happen, but it's too soon to say.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2016, 06:02:17 am »

I wonder if Rubio would still be losing in a one on one poll in Florida.
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