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  MN-08/SurveyUSA: Trump+12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MN-08/SurveyUSA: Trump+12  (Read 2829 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 24, 2016, 08:51:47 am »

This same poll has Nolan losing by 8 in 2014.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2016, 08:57:21 am »

If nothing else, this does tell us that eastern Iowa is probably gone for Clinton.  I wonder if Ron Kind is in trouble next door with these kinds of Trump numbers in historically Dem parts of rural MN?

Polling suggests that Clinton has narrow lead outside of the Milwaukee, Madison, and Green Bay media markets.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 01:56:11 pm »

Junk. No way Nolan loses now after romping in 2014. SUSA is generally a good pollster but Minnesota is one state they cannot poll.

this. Obviously tender is getting his jollies, though.
Yeah.  It's infuriating.  Tender has done more to ruin my opinion of Austria than any other single person.  He exemplifies the casually racist/misogynistic/homophobic attitude that most Austrians seem to have while claiming moral and ethical superiority over everybody else.

It's no wonder the Germans look down on them the same we we look down on the deep south.

As for the poll:  Mills was up 8 at this point in 2014 according to SUSA and he lost the election.  Now he's up by 4.

The district will swing and trend towards Trump but will elect the same DFLers as they always do otherwise.  Mostly because Trump has protectionist trade policy proposals at a time when the commodity crash and unfair practices by China (which both candidates have condemned) is leaving their taconite plants shuttered.  If the GOP nominates Cruz or Ryan or some other smarmy snobjob in 2020, look for that trend to dry up.

Even so, the Iron Range and Duluth won't be voting for Trump or Mills.  Everyone wants to think the Iron Range is driving this swing.  It is not.

The Republican trend is occurring in the new areas of District 8 that are adjacent to Tom Emmer's 6th district and much closer to where Stuey Mills (with his fancy hair and fancy clothes and fancy house and fancy boat and fancy job and fancy ideas about free markets) lives.

My hope is that when redistricting happens and MN loses a seat, they rip up the 7th. Give the 8th the North of the state, 1st the South, 6th the middle, and the rest in the metro area.
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