Chilean Presidential Election 2017 (Piņera landslide, defeats Guillier with 54%)
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  Chilean Presidential Election 2017 (Piņera landslide, defeats Guillier with 54%)
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Author Topic: Chilean Presidential Election 2017 (Piņera landslide, defeats Guillier with 54%)  (Read 48006 times)
seb_pard
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« Reply #300 on: December 17, 2017, 11:42:00 AM »
« edited: December 17, 2017, 11:44:41 AM by seb_pard »

China
Piņera: 101 (73%)
Guillier: 37 (27%)


Vote from abroad consolidated
Guillier: NZ, Aus, Japan, Thailand, Russia, Korea (empate)
Piņera: China, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Philipines, UAE, India, Egypt, South Africa, Jordania, Korea (empate)
Piņera 40.6% (712 votos)
Guillier 59,4% (1040 votos)

Source: https://twitter.com/wuinters/status/942433840412446720
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #301 on: December 17, 2017, 12:02:39 PM »

China
Piņera: 101 (73%)
Guillier: 37 (27%)


Vote from abroad consolidated
Guillier: NZ, Aus, Japan, Thailand, Russia, Korea (empate)
Piņera: China, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Philipines, UAE, India, Egypt, South Africa, Jordania, Korea (empate)
Piņera 40.6% (712 votos)
Guillier 59,4% (1040 votos)

Source: https://twitter.com/wuinters/status/942433840412446720

These result do show that the left is losing votes from the first round, but will it b enough for Piņera to win...
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Donnie
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« Reply #302 on: December 17, 2017, 12:50:12 PM »

What time (ET) the polls close?
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seb_pard
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« Reply #303 on: December 17, 2017, 01:06:12 PM »

4 PM ET (6 pm in Chile) polls start to close, first results will come 30 minutes later.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #304 on: December 17, 2017, 01:11:02 PM »

Results from Europe


Paris 1
Guillier 118
Piņera 15

Paris 3
Guillier 164
Piņera 24

Stockholm 3
Guillier 168
Piņera 9

Barcelona 1
Guillier 103
Piņera 28

Barcelona 3
Guillier 92
Piņera 34

Barcelona 6
Guillier 43
Piņera 22

Madrid 3
Guillier 122
Piņera 116

Madrid 4
Guillier 83
Piņera 77

Madrid 2
Guillier 75
Piņera 102
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #305 on: December 17, 2017, 01:42:43 PM »

I'm going to be contrary to the other views expressed here and say Piņera pulls it out. Thanks to the divisions in the left during the first round, not enough BF voters will qant to turn up and vote NM.
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mvd10
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« Reply #306 on: December 17, 2017, 02:13:28 PM »

Why is Piņera so unpopular abroad?
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seb_pard
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« Reply #307 on: December 17, 2017, 02:17:56 PM »

Why is Piņera so unpopular abroad?

He is going to improve in America (USA, Canada, Peru, etc.) but the european vote is specially left-wing, because many exiled people by Pinochet regime were received in Europe (France, Sweden, etc.) and although some returned many stayed there, and they are particularly left-wing, also there's some autoselection with respect to postgraduates. If you want to do a master/Ph.D abroad, if you choose USA  there's a higher probability of being to the right, and if you choose Europe you have a higher probability  to be on the left. This is obviously an oversimplification, but there's some pattern there.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #308 on: December 17, 2017, 02:21:23 PM »

I'm going to be contrary to the other views expressed here and say Piņera pulls it out. Thanks to the divisions in the left during the first round, not enough BF voters will qant to turn up and vote NM.

You could be totally right, the division in the chilean left is something to consider, but I don't think the two groups (and their electorates) are too divisive between them (we are divided, but not like France or Germany). We will se today, but there's no reason to see what you said. Today we will see the how BF voters react to Guillier and Piņera.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #309 on: December 17, 2017, 02:35:10 PM »

Vote from Abroad until now
Oceania🇳🇿🇦🇺
Asia🇯🇵🇸🇬🇰🇷🇨🇳🇲🇾🇵🇭🇹🇭🇮🇩
Africa🇿🇦
Middle East🇮🇱🇦🇪
Europe🇷🇺🇫🇷🇪🇸🇨🇭🇵🇱🇳🇱🇸🇪🇬🇧*🇮🇹

Piņera 30.7% (2,209)
Guillier: 69.3% (4,987)


https://twitter.com/Ob_electoralUDP/status/942477501753896960


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DL
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« Reply #310 on: December 17, 2017, 02:41:36 PM »

In my experience Chileans in Canada tend to be very leftwing
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seb_pard
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« Reply #311 on: December 17, 2017, 02:46:51 PM »

In my experience Chileans in Canada tend to be very leftwing

Well I checked the results from Canada and Piņera got crushed in the first round (16%), I don't know why I though it could be more to the right. The US to the contrary Piņera achieved 49%.
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Lumine
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« Reply #312 on: December 17, 2017, 03:36:45 PM »

This will be a tense afternoon... I want to think Piņera pulls it off as it doesn't look like turnout was strong, but I'm prepared for a very narrow Guillier win based on mere anti-Piņera voters.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #313 on: December 17, 2017, 03:53:08 PM »

Honestly I'm starting to think that Piņera will win. Turnout seems significantly lower than the first round (but higher in the upper class communes), the right is very motivated and apparently the Broad Front electorate (not the majority but a significant part) didn't bother to vote this time.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #314 on: December 17, 2017, 04:01:37 PM »

Polls now start to close, you can check official results here:

http://www.servelelecciones.cl

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jaichind
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« Reply #315 on: December 17, 2017, 04:02:35 PM »

Any exit polls ?
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seb_pard
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« Reply #316 on: December 17, 2017, 04:04:29 PM »

Nope we don't have
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jaichind
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« Reply #317 on: December 17, 2017, 04:06:09 PM »

Polls now start to close, you can check official results here:

http://www.servelelecciones.cl



If there are international counts already why does this link show zero votes for both candidates ?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #318 on: December 17, 2017, 04:08:45 PM »

Polls now start to close, you can check official results here:

http://www.servelelecciones.cl



If there are international counts already why does this link show zero votes for both candidates ?

That link is to the total vote. If you click the international link you see the int vote. The national vote tab however shows zero, because the count is at zero.
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seb_pard
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« Reply #319 on: December 17, 2017, 04:11:40 PM »

Live counting:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HDa9paUzSpM



International vote is now up
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #320 on: December 17, 2017, 04:14:42 PM »
« Edited: December 17, 2017, 04:20:26 PM by Oryxslayer »

That link is behind the main page - here:

http://www.tvn.cl/

I love how I understand just basic Spanish, yet I can still that the YouTube live comments on that video are Trash Tongue

Also: is there any reason for which counts the stations show - both this time and during the first round? Are they traditionally good bellwethers, or are they just where the actions is at the time?
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seb_pard
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« Reply #321 on: December 17, 2017, 04:20:09 PM »

That link is behind the main page - here:

http://www.tvn.cl/

I love how I understand just basic Spanish, yet I can still that the YouTube live comments on that video are Trash Tongue
Chilean trolls hahahaha
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #322 on: December 17, 2017, 04:23:11 PM »

We Have Chilean votes!

SEBASTIAN PIŅERA ECHENIQUE   146   51,41%   
ALEJANDRO GUILLIER ALVAREZ   138   48,59%   

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Lumine
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« Reply #323 on: December 17, 2017, 04:29:40 PM »

Early projection from Radio Bio Bio has Piņera in the lead, still a long way to go.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #324 on: December 17, 2017, 04:39:39 PM »

Total Votes: from 693 counts

 SEBASTIAN PIŅERA ECHENIQUE 42.966   50,86%   
 ALEJANDRO GUILLIER ALVAREZ   41.516   49,14%   

Votes from Chile: 612 Counts

 SEBASTIAN PIŅERA ECHENIQUE 40.345   53,38%   
 ALEJANDRO GUILLIER ALVAREZ   35.233   46,62%   

If I can recall from the first round, the margins stayed the mainly the same throughout the count. if this holds true - Piņera wins.
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