Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 28, 2020, 11:14:55 am
News: 2020 Mock/Endorsements for Presidential Primaries are now open.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA  (Read 886 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,008
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 24, 2016, 12:16:45 pm »

Florida
Clinton - 45%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 2%

North Carolina
Clinton - 42%
Trump - 41%
Johnson - 8%
*Stein - 2% (Not on the ballot)

Georgia
Clinton - 44%
Trump - 40%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 1%

Virginia
Clinton - 43%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 9%
Stein - 3%

Polls of Likely Voters conducted over October 17-18.

http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Florida-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/North-Carolina-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Georgia-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Virginia-Battleground-Results.pdf
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,942
United States


P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2016, 12:18:43 pm »

Oh my goodness (!!)
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,982
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 12:18:49 pm »

The results are all weird lol
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,598
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2016, 12:21:54 pm »

Junk
Logged
Staunch anti-Trump Dem for Trump bcuz SoCiAlIsM
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,807
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2016, 12:25:46 pm »

I'm definitely not buying GA voting to the left of NC, and almost as far left as VA.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,171
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2016, 12:27:26 pm »

I'll take it!
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,881
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2016, 12:37:35 pm »

Lethal to Trump if true.
Logged
Buckhead Kelly
Patrick97
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,377
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2016, 12:38:19 pm »

I don't see how this poll is junk everything seems consistent with polling except GA. Still the demographics in GA is consistent with prediction. 2014 was 64% white this one shows 61%.
Logged
rafta_rafta
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 926


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2016, 12:47:22 pm »

these numbers make no sense. At least the Georgia ones
Logged
TC 25
Full Member
***
Posts: 133
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2016, 12:48:06 pm »

Junk

Georgia and Virginia practically the same?   
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,190


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:09 pm »

Bqhatevwr
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,812
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:48 pm »

What's that Lucid company?
Do they have any track record?
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,171
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2016, 12:56:02 pm »

Margin of error, folks. Just because the numbers look weird does not mean that the poll is junk. The Clinton lead in Georgia might be Trump +3 and it would still be within the margin of error. Likewise, the Virginia Clinton lead of only +5, might be +12 and still be within the margin of error.

So basically:

Florida: Somewhere between Trump +1 and Clinton +13
Virginia: Somewhere between Trump +2 and Clinton +12
Georgia: Somewhere between Trump +3 and Clinton +11
North Carolina: Somewhere between Trump +6 and Clinton +8
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,797
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2016, 01:02:28 pm »

Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2016, 01:03:13 pm »

As they say, add the numbers to the pile.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 43,294
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2016, 01:49:41 pm »

Stein isn't on the ballot in Georgia either (although she can be written in).
Logged
Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51,304
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2016, 03:24:22 pm »

This looks like junk.
Logged
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,277
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2016, 04:08:08 pm »

Junk, it's pre-debate polling
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC