FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
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  FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
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Author Topic: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA  (Read 1052 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: October 24, 2016, 12:16:45 PM »

Florida
Clinton - 45%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 2%

North Carolina
Clinton - 42%
Trump - 41%
Johnson - 8%
*Stein - 2% (Not on the ballot)

Georgia
Clinton - 44%
Trump - 40%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 1%

Virginia
Clinton - 43%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 9%
Stein - 3%

Polls of Likely Voters conducted over October 17-18.

http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Florida-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/North-Carolina-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Georgia-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Virginia-Battleground-Results.pdf
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2016, 12:18:43 PM »

Oh my goodness (!!)
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 12:18:49 PM »

The results are all weird lol
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2016, 12:21:54 PM »

Junk
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2016, 12:25:46 PM »

I'm definitely not buying GA voting to the left of NC, and almost as far left as VA.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2016, 12:27:26 PM »

I'll take it!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2016, 12:37:35 PM »

Lethal to Trump if true.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2016, 12:38:19 PM »

I don't see how this poll is junk everything seems consistent with polling except GA. Still the demographics in GA is consistent with prediction. 2014 was 64% white this one shows 61%.
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2016, 12:47:22 PM »

these numbers make no sense. At least the Georgia ones
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TC 25
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2016, 12:48:06 PM »

Junk

Georgia and Virginia practically the same?   
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Brittain33
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:09 PM »

Bqhatevwr
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:48 PM »

What's that Lucid company?
Do they have any track record?
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BlueSwan
blueswan
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2016, 12:56:02 PM »

Margin of error, folks. Just because the numbers look weird does not mean that the poll is junk. The Clinton lead in Georgia might be Trump +3 and it would still be within the margin of error. Likewise, the Virginia Clinton lead of only +5, might be +12 and still be within the margin of error.

So basically:

Florida: Somewhere between Trump +1 and Clinton +13
Virginia: Somewhere between Trump +2 and Clinton +12
Georgia: Somewhere between Trump +3 and Clinton +11
North Carolina: Somewhere between Trump +6 and Clinton +8
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2016, 01:02:28 PM »

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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2016, 01:03:13 PM »

As they say, add the numbers to the pile.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2016, 01:49:41 PM »

Stein isn't on the ballot in Georgia either (although she can be written in).
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2016, 03:24:22 PM »

This looks like junk.
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Lachi
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2016, 04:08:08 PM »

Junk, it's pre-debate polling
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