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  Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way)
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Author Topic: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way)  (Read 712 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: October 24, 2016, 12:51:31 pm »
« edited: October 24, 2016, 12:53:05 pm by Castro »

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 40%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 1%

Clinton - 49%
Trump - 42%

Poll of 569 Likely Voters (out of 710 Adult Americans interviewed) conducted over October 18-23.

One thing to note is that Hawaii and Alaska were excluded, and that Party ID breaks down as:
31% Democrat, 31.4% Republican, 30.6% Independents, 6.1% no/other party.
46.5% Democrat/Independent-lean-Democrat, 47% Republicans/Independent-lean Republican.

http://web.centre.edu/benjamin.knoll/2016FCSStopline.pdf
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:21 pm »

It's 47-40 head to head
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 12:52:53 pm »

Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2016, 12:53:24 pm »

Junk uni poll.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2016, 12:54:25 pm »


Where do you see that? I see 49-42.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2016, 12:57:03 pm »

Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR!

They said they weighted the entire sample for age and race. Party ID was offered.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2016, 12:59:48 pm »

Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR!

They said they weighted the entire sample for age and race. Party ID was offered.

Wait, they got 31% Dem 31% Rep without weighting? Must be a junk sample then. Every other poll has had significant Dem advantage on self-identified party ID.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2016, 01:04:38 pm »

"All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was
weighted to reflect national Census figures for age and race. "


I assume they didn't weigh by education and gender?
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2016, 01:06:37 pm »

LOL, even a poll skewed for Trump shows him behind. (Centre College is in Kentucky, so they obviously want Trump to win.)
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2016, 01:09:29 pm »

So if more Republicans vote than Democrats (for the first time since the Depression), Trump will probably still lose.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2016, 01:19:11 pm »

Dems
Clinton 83%
Trump 6%
Johnson 5%

GOP
Trump 74%
Clinton 8%
Johnson 8%

men: Trump +6
women: Clinton +17
whites: Trump +14
non-white: Clinton +55
under 50: Clinton +11
over 50: Trump +3
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2016, 01:23:56 pm »

No way Trump is down only seven with those internals.
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