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  Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
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Author Topic: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)  (Read 1807 times)
ApatheticAustrian
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« on: October 25, 2016, 07:05:06 am »
« edited: October 25, 2016, 07:08:18 am by ApatheticAustrian »

Pres: 46 - 39
Senate:  Ross +1
Gov:  Cooper +6
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/25/upshot/north-carolina-poll.html?_r=0
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 07:05:25 am »

It gone.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2016, 07:08:11 am »

White Voters:

53% Trump
32% Clinton

Black Voters:

88% Clinton
2% Trump

Early Voters:

61% Clinton
36% Trump

That early voter number is very close to what PPP had.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2016, 07:10:30 am »

if those number are too high....the senate is going to be a real nailbiter.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 07:13:45 am »

these are live interviews based on voter reg data - that's why high quality pollsters are showing high single digit and low double digit national leads
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2016, 07:14:58 am »

Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2016, 07:18:25 am »

North Carolina must have had the most polls of any state this election.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2016, 07:19:13 am »

Jonathan Martin from NYT says this mirrors private GOP polling.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2016, 07:20:10 am »

Image Link
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2016, 07:20:25 am »

WOWIE!  GREAT POLL!  

Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?  
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2016, 07:25:26 am »

WOWIE!  GREAT POLL!  

Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?  


Die Firewall erweitert sich!

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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2016, 07:29:28 am »

Makes me feel better about NC.

What I like about Siena/NYT is that they use voter's registration file and look at their voting history, and also use voter's intention to predict the chance of likelihood.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2016, 07:40:49 am »

My god.
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ReapSow
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2016, 07:44:07 am »

This is trending HARD on Twitter!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2016, 07:48:19 am »

Looks like Trump is in for a good trashing in North Carolina.
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calvinhobbesliker
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2016, 08:12:58 am »

If this is true, Georgia must be really close.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2016, 08:21:35 am »

Thrilled that NC is finally showing its true colors. What a beautiful poll.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2016, 08:38:16 am »

Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.
Wow! A 7/6 % swing!
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Arch
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« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2016, 08:38:38 am »

Wow NC. Amazing!
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mark_twain
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2016, 08:45:00 am »


Excellent poll!
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2016, 09:03:58 am »

With Clinton's ground game, a 7-8% win here is likely.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2016, 09:05:53 am »

Well, she’s certainly ahead but not by seven points. Maybe two or three, but not beyond four. The senate and governor’s race numbers seem right, both are dead-heat.

The early voting numbers are impressive though.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2016, 09:31:34 am »

SENATE

Ross (D) - 47
Burr (R) - 46

GOVERNOR

Cooper (D) - 51
McCrory (R) - 45
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Mangez des pommes !
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2016, 10:39:53 am »

The gap between Hillary and Ross is a bit unsettling. Still, if this poll is right, great news!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2016, 10:46:38 am »

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