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Author Topic: NC - Siena/NYT Upshot: Ross +1  (Read 506 times)
DavidB.
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« on: October 25, 2016, 07:06:49 am »

Ross 47
Burr 46

http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/a28d624b-bd7e-46a7-a024-573e184bd3bb.pdf
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 07:12:32 am »

This seems like a Democrat-friendly poll in general, but given the early voting figures and the seemlingly lackluster GOP GOTV efforts it also doesn't seem too unlikely. This race is a total tossup, even more so than NV.
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2016, 07:13:51 am »

I think that Clinton winning by 3-4 points in North Carolina should be enough for a dem pick up in North Carolina.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2016, 07:21:22 am »

Ross can pull this off with weak GOP turnout, which is certainly possible at this point.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 10:18:05 am »

I have a hard time seeing Hillary win NC by 7, so I'll take this with a grain of salt. Democrats should focus on convincing Hillary voters to cast a straight-ticket party vote.
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2016, 10:52:57 am »

This poll removes my fun talking point that the number of polls over the past month showing Ross, Murphy, or Kander winning (all added up) can be added up to the same number that showed just Toomey winning, which is also the same number that showed just Ayotte winning Sad
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Figueira
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2016, 11:51:27 am »

I like how whenever I'm on the verge of calling this Lean R there's a new poll showing Ross ahead. This race is a tossup.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2016, 12:07:51 pm »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2016-10-23

Summary: D: 47%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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