Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 20, 2017, 05:36:15 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | |-+  Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: Remington/Axiom: Tie in FL, Trump up in NV/NC/OH, Clinton up PA/VA/WI/CO  (Read 1552 times)
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« on: October 25, 2016, 08:29:02 am »
Ignore

http://20an0w2e66jla4rfm1idisr1.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ABC_Project_Timeline.pdf
https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/790900744278806528
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/

"Remington Research Group is a polling firm that specializes in automated IVR technology."

Colorado
Clinton 45
Trump 43

Florida
Clinton 46
Trump 46

Nevada
Clinton 44
Trump 47

North Carolina
Clinton 44
Trump 47

Ohio
Clinton 42
Trump 46

Pennsylvania
Clinton 45
Trump 42

Virginia
Clinton 48
Trump 43

Wisconsin
Clinton 46
Trump 41
« Last Edit: October 25, 2016, 08:30:35 am by HillOfANight »Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19605
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2016, 08:30:25 am »
Ignore

Lol - next.
Logged


Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies
LimoLiberal
Full Member
***
Posts: 100


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2016, 08:30:45 am »
Ignore

Lol. There is literally nothing to support any of these numbers in any of these states.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13407
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2016, 08:32:55 am »
Ignore

Anyone notice how Axiom stopped relaseing those county level polls whenever Trump was losing.
Logged

Endorsements
New Jersey Governor: Phil Murphy
Virginia Governor: Ralph Northam
Maryland Governor: Ben Jealous
ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 621
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2016, 08:33:24 am »
Ignore

God, I see a Trump tweetgasm coming.
Logged

Openly gay member of the United States Air Force.
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10056
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2016, 08:35:20 am »
Ignore

Now that Cruz has fully uncucked, his pollster is following suit.
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2016, 08:36:37 am »
Ignore

Anyone notice how Axiom stopped relaseing those county level polls whenever Trump was losing.

http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/

They did release a fresh batch. Movement everywhere, sometimes significantly to Clinton, except 2.

Jefferson CO C+2 > C+3
Hillsborough FL T+1 > C+2
Washoe NV T+17 > T+6
Watauga NC T+8 > T+4
Sandusky OH T+7 > T+5
Hamilton OH C+1 > T+1
Luzerne PA T+15 > T+11
Northampton PA T+8 > C+3
Loudoun VA C+2 > C+8
Door WI C+9 > C+7
Logged
BoAtlantis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 727


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2016, 08:39:00 am »
Ignore

Finally polls that Trump can tweet about.
Logged
calvinhobbesliker
Rookie
*
Posts: 33


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2016, 08:44:16 am »
Ignore

This pollster seems to call landlines only.
Logged
rafta_rafta
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 923


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2016, 08:49:49 am »
Ignore

Now that even Rassy isn't showing a lead for HRC, this poll will become the new gold standard
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3673
Sweden


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2016, 08:52:43 am »
Ignore

God, I see a Trump tweetgasm coming.
Grin
Logged

“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4505
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2016, 08:57:30 am »
Ignore

Tie in FL and the faker up in NC and NV?

Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of the wonderful state of California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

Endorsements:
- President: Kamala Harris
- CA Governor: Gavin Newsom
- CA Senate: Kevin de León

- NJ Governor: Phil Murphy
- VA Governor: Ralph Northam
- AL Senate: Doug Jones
Benedicamus Domino
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5384
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2016, 09:00:52 am »
Ignore

Just add 5 to Clinton then it seems right.
Logged

"Benjamin Franklin reminded his colleagues at the Constitutional Convention, to begin by bowing their head in prayer. I remind you, we’re going to start saying Merry Christmas again.” Donald John Trump
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2493


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2016, 09:07:25 am »
Ignore

Landline only robo poll, what fun.
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2016, 09:15:02 am »
Ignore

They don't really detail their methodology. Who knows if the spike the D number up 3 like Emerson to not look like complete outliers.
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10572
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2016, 09:40:25 am »
Ignore

We now take you to an Atlas-Exclusive look-in at the Remington-Axiom polling outfit in action calling voters in Ohio!



"Can we count on your vote to Make America Great Again?"
Logged

Help Intervention beloved poster Little Big Trumpista so he stops boofing drugs.  Click here!  http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=14196 
This is life or death. 



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14156
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2016, 09:42:30 am »
Ignore

Has there ever been any other election with so many crappy pollsters?
All we need now is a McLaughlin New York poll showing Trump into the margin of error. 
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 963


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2016, 10:19:37 am »
Ignore

Is this Emerson's half brother pollster lol
Logged
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5893
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2016, 10:25:41 am »
Ignore

LOL.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27863
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2016, 12:07:13 pm »
Ignore

Isn't this one of Ted Cruz's old guys polling company? I think it was Jeff Roe's company.
Logged

HagridOfTheDeep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7542
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.10, S: -1.90


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2016, 12:21:14 pm »
Ignore

Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump.
Logged

Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27863
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2016, 12:21:58 pm »
Ignore

Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump.

I don't agree that there's that much evidence of that. There's a lot of new trash polls mucking up averages.
Logged

IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20353
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2016, 01:16:26 pm »
Ignore

Sh-t polls, but I think it's time for Team Hillary to start thinking about that next big oppo hit. There's enough evidence to suggest that things are slowly trickling back in Trump's direction. If we don't get anything soon, I'm inclined to believe there's nothing left. Which is too bad, because they should have known there'd be two weeks at the end of the campaign with no built-in attention-grabbing events to prevent the campaign from starting to naturally feel stale. And boringness helps Trump.

Yeah, just look at this Trump surge in the making:

Logged

HagridOfTheDeep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7542
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.10, S: -1.90


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2016, 01:25:33 pm »
Ignore

^ The same could have been said at pretty much every point in the race when Trump did actually begin to surge (though I would characterize these periods as Hillary slowly collapsing, not Trump surging). Plus, these periods have been dominated by characteristics similar to what we're seeing now. Namely, a certain kind of quiet from Trump and a pause or staleness in the overarching narrative of the election. It gives reporters a chance to dig into Hillary bullsh-t, and slowly everyone chips away at her numbers.

Trump has enough evidence now to know that he might as well avoid serious controversy, and there's not really anything on the horizon that could shake up the race. The gravity of Hillary's poll numbers will just naturally start to bring her back down to earth unless they're deliberately held up by a new narrative.

I want to stress that it's not major enough for her to actually lose, but +5 isn't exactly fantastic when we know she has the potential to do so much better in this match-up. And if they are sitting on a big oppo hit, let's get it out there in the next half a week.
Logged

Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46193
United States


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2016, 01:31:53 pm »
Ignore

^ The same could have been said at pretty much every point in the race when Trump did actually begin to surge (though I would characterize these periods as Hillary slowly collapsing, not Trump surging). Plus, these periods have been dominated by characteristics similar to what we're seeing now. Namely, a certain kind of quiet from Trump and a pause or staleness in the overarching narrative of the election. It gives reporters a chance to dig into Hillary bullsh-t, and slowly everyone chips away at her numbers.

Trump has enough evidence now to know that he might as well avoid serious controversy, and there's not really anything on the horizon that could shake up the race. The gravity of Hillary's poll numbers will just naturally start to bring her back down to earth unless they're deliberately held up by a new narrative.

I want to stress that it's not major enough for her to actually lose, but +5 isn't exactly fantastic when we know she has the potential to do so much better in this match-up. And if they are sitting on a big oppo hit, let's get it out there in the next half a week.

I agree with this entirely. I really, really hope they have one last hit coming.
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines