AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1

[The Other Castro]

Trump - 46%
Clinton - 45%
Johnson - 4%
Stein - 1%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_AZ_102516/

[Doimper]

I'll take it.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Arizona President by Monmouth University on 2016-10-24

Summary: D: 45%, R: 46%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[The Other Castro]

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[Maxwell]

woah - a real pollster in Arizona. Nice!

[Speed of Sound]

It hasn't yet ceased to amaze me that this is a normal, and to some, nearly disappointing D result. Good to see that Dem voters are getting their votes in. The longer you wait, the less likely it happens.

[Dr. Arch]

Groundgame will throw this to HRC. This is exemplary of Trump not recovering in any way so far post-debate. With millions of people already voting, HRC is very favored.

[Landslide Lyndon]

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No worries people, I'm sure Trump's excellent GOTV operation will take care of that.

[rafta_rafta]

With a good GOTV game, AZ could be in play

[ProudModerate2]

With a good GOTV game, AZ could be in play

[The Other Castro]

With a good GOTV game, AZ could be in play

With a good GOTV game, AZ could be out of play

[dspNY]

A very plausible result here

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

[BoAtlantis]

She should put some serious effort there.

[Maxwell]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

[Mr. Morden]

Dems
Clinton 96%
Trump 3%
Johnson 1%
Stein 0%

GOP
Trump 90%
Clinton 6%
Johnson 2%
Stein 0%

Indies
Trump 44%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%

men: Trump +20
women: Clinton +17
whites: Trump +21
non-whites: Clinton +40

That’s one heck of a gender gap.

fav/unfav %:
McCain 43/33% for +10%
Kirkpatrick 30/28% for +2%
Trump 34/56% for -22%
Clinton 32/57% for -25%

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

[Maxwell]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

[Fusionmunster]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

And government rebates increase with it, combined with the fact that quite a few Americans get their health coverage from their employers. Hillary is fine, and your constant concern trolling is annoying.

[Dr. Arch]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

I can't even.

[Gass3268]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

Both FL and NC are clearly Lean D right now.

[Xing]

This does confirm that AZ is a toss-up, and very winnable for Hillary.

[Speed of Sound]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

Has a single piece of evidence in a month suggested anything other than Clinton leading FL? Most especially the EV data, which, by the way, is cemented as official votes, not mere opinion polling.

[Tender Branson]

Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

look at his god damn debate performances dude

Sure, but I'm still not fully convinced that Hillary has sealed this election yet.

If anything, she'll probably win with CO+VA and lose other currently close states (such as FL and NC) in the end.

Both FL and NC are clearly Lean D right now.

The emphasis is on "right now" ... This could change though.