NH-Monmouth: Clinton +4

[Maxwell]

I think I will post this at every polling thread for the rest of the campaign.

The point of this is that there aren't just a few voters that sit around going "I'M FOR TRUMP", wait no "I'm for Clinton" over and over again. Generally most voters have decided by now and it's mostly polling variations.

[skoods]

Oh, f**k it. Looks like the race is actually tightening.

Probably too late to change the outcome, but this means the Clinton landslide we deserved is fading out of sight...

What are you talking about?

People need to stop relying on single polls to categorize the race

[DrScholl]

I see that tightening is the latest overused word. Whoever used that word should stop posting after election day simply for being so wrong. No one averaging between 38-42% of the vote is going to win or even come close to winning.

[TC 25]

I saw at least one if not two double-digit leads for Clinton in this state.  Call it what you want, but Trump is closing the gap.

[Lief 🗽]

So NH is going to be 8 points more Republican than the rest of the country??

[GeorgiaModerate]

I saw at least one if not two double-digit leads for Clinton in this state.  Call it what you want, but Trump is closing the gap.

Split.  The.  Difference.  The truth is in the middle.

[Oakvale]

Starting to get pretty tired of the sanctimonious types who insist on denying that things are tighteninggg...

Look—lulls in the race ALWAYS favour Trump. I'm looking forward to the oppo dump.

Oh, f**k it. Looks like the race is actually tightening.

Probably too late to change the outcome, but this means the Clinton landslide we deserved is fading out of sight...

Is it sanctimonious to say you two need to find a paper bag and breathe into it? Yikes. Down the road of overreacting to a few junk polls lies Beet.

That's why I hate the prospect of the next two weeks: liberals wetting their pants every time a poll shows MoE movement towards Trump.

Seriously, every time I pop on to this board I feel like I'm losing my mind.

"Everything seems to going well in the US election, I'll take a look at the 2016 bo--"

"TRUMP UP 2 IN THE STORMFRONT/PEPE POLL OF IOWA WHY DIDN'T WE LISTEN"

[Dr. Arch]

Starting to get pretty tired of the sanctimonious types who insist on denying that things are tighteninggg...

Look—lulls in the race ALWAYS favour Trump. I'm looking forward to the oppo dump.

Oh, f**k it. Looks like the race is actually tightening.

Probably too late to change the outcome, but this means the Clinton landslide we deserved is fading out of sight...

Is it sanctimonious to say you two need to find a paper bag and breathe into it? Yikes. Down the road of overreacting to a few junk polls lies Beet.

That's why I hate the prospect of the next two weeks: liberals wetting their pants every time a poll shows MoE movement towards Trump.

Seriously, every time I pop on to this board I feel like I'm losing my mind.

"Everything seems to going well in the US election, I'll take a look at the 2016 bo--"

"TRUMP UP 2 IN THE STORMFRONT/PEPE POLL OF IOWA WHY DIDN'T WE LISTEN"

You're right. It causes a lot of unwarranted stress.

[Speed of Sound]

People forget that this state was considered a pure Tossup in 2012 and 2014. We all know how that turned out in the end...

Obama's 2012 RCP average in NH was +2, and he finished +5.6. Clinton's current RCP average in NH is +7 (and, even if you remove the UNH poll, is +5.25)

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Monmouth really skews Republican this cycle.

Deplorable Nate Silver/538 unskewed it to C+3 (from C+4). Disgusting!

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

So NH is going to be 8 points more Republican than the rest of the country??

yadda yadda yadda something something something white people something yadda #MAGA

[Senator-elect Spark]

Clinton in trouble here

[ProudModerate2]

Clinton in trouble here

[GeorgiaModerate]

Clinton in trouble here

You mean, compared to the other candidate who's 4 points behind?